$XRP has faced notable pressure in recent sessions, slipping below key support levels that traders had been watching closely. At press time, the asset traded at $2.77, showing a modest 1.27% recovery from the previous day, but still lower than traders would like.

This short-term rebound follows a broader decline that left investors questioning whether XRP’s momentum has stalled heading into September. To address these concerns, we asked Google’s Gemini AI to provide a forecast for the digital asset’s prospects as September 30 approaches.

✨Regulatory Clarity and Institutional Interest

Gemini’s outlook considers regulatory, institutional, technical, and macroeconomic factors. The first consideration is the regulatory landscape. The AI drew attention to the conclusion of Ripple’s legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The expectation is that greater clarity would provide market stability and support XRP above key thresholds, reducing the uncertainty that has weighed on its valuation.

Institutional participation is also considered an important factor. Gemini highlighted Ripple’s growing role in cross-border settlement as a driver of liquidity and sustained market activity. The AI notes that higher participation from institutions could create significant upward pressure on the asset’s price.

✨Market Cycles and Historical Behavior

The forecast also incorporates the asset’s historical market cycles. XRP has often experienced extended consolidation, followed by sharp upward moves. Gemini suggests that the token could be in the middle stages of such a cycle by September 2025.

While this would not necessarily mark the absolute peak, it implies meaningful upside potential compared to current levels.

✨Macro Environment and Price Targets

Macro factors are another element in the analysis. The effects of the April 2024 Bitcoin halving, which historically influence altcoin performance with a lag, are expected to be visible in the latter half of 2025. Gemini highlights that this timing could be favorable for XRP, as the broader market tends to experience heightened activity within 12 to 18 months after a halving event.

With these considerations in mind, Gemini places XRP’s most probable value around $5.05 by September 30. The AI outlines a projected range of $4.20 to $6.10, positioning the token for potential gains if adoption trends remain positive.

Gemini states that “on September 30, 2025, XRP is most likely to trade near $5,” while leaving open the possibility of further appreciation heading into the final quarter of the year if demand accelerates.

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