The big one is coming~ September crypto welcomes Super Week, Non-Farm Payroll, CPI, and Federal Reserve decisions bring high volatility. Brother Star breaks down key strategies.
1. 9.5 Non-Farm Payroll data as a rate cut indicator
New jobs < 150,000: Bitcoin may drop below $112,000
Data exceeds expectations: Short-term pullback to $105,000, does not change long-term trend
Action: Build positions in batches at $107,000, add to positions if it falls below $105,000, target $115,000.
2. 9.11 CPI data as a sentiment key
Core CPI < 3.1%: Ethereum may break $4,500, driving altcoin rotation
CPI rebound: No need to panic, it won't change the rate cut trend
Action: Close leverage on the day, pay attention to Bitcoin/Ethereum volatility spread.
3. 9.17 Federal Reserve decision sets the tone for the fourth quarter
Rate cut of 25 basis points: Bitcoin may stabilize at $110,000
Rate cut of 50 basis points: Welcome to the “rate cut bull,” Bitcoin may surge to $150,000
Action: 3 days before the decision, switch from BTC to ETH, if “dovish” signals are released, increase positions in the Ethereum ecosystem.
4. Brother Star's exclusive suggestions
Bitcoin: Build positions at $107,000 with 30%, add 20% if it breaks $105,000, target $112,000-$115,000
Ethereum: Buy in batches at $4,500, add below $4,450, hold until $5,000 after breaking $4,800 and then reduce
Avoid risks: Do not operate 24 hours before the Ethena unlock on 9.10; on 9.30, due to government shutdown risks, pair with 5%-10% stablecoins for hedging.
Overall: Half a position before data, respond to volatility with strategy.
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