【BTC/ETH Market Analysis and Trading Strategy | Short-term Bearish, Mid-term Bullish】
⌛ Current Trend Assessment:
ETH is expected to follow BTC's pullback at 8 o'clock, short-term bearish operation
Weekly support level is likely to break, but the monthly golden cross is established, mid-term bullish pattern remains unchanged
📉 Short-term Trading Thoughts:
If ETH pulls back, the target range is 4150-4250 (4-hour double-cut line retest at 0 axis)
4450-4600 is a dense holding area, after repeated oscillations, it may brew a large-scale market
⚡ Recent Market Characteristics:
Frequent false signals + low volume V-rebounds, technical indicators frequently invalid
Volatility is fast, pin positions are difficult to predict, short-term risks are increasing
Oscillating markets consume patience, amplify greed, and are prone to passive holding during trend changes
🚨 Trading Suggestions:
I do not participate in left-side bottom fishing, especially in small-scale rebounds with poor risk-reward ratios
Currently more inclined towards high short positions, consistent with large-scale top divergence structure
Avoid frequent oscillation trading, as it is easy to miss trend markets and fall into passivity
📌 Key Reminders:
Avoid being addicted to the short-term thrill in oscillating markets
Beware of false signals, adhere to a logically consistent trading system
Waiting for large-scale signals is the way to a steady approach