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陈方华论势
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$BTC
4小时级别多空博弈持续激烈,价格暂时企稳于4小时图布林带下轨之上,同时111000附近的上升趋势线提供关键支撑。
操作核心:以111000趋势线为分界点,若回调过程中不失守该支撑,看多思路不变;若意外下破趋势线,将触发空间回调,回调结束后仍看好多头再度冲高。
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BTC
108,161.52
-3.95%
ETH
4,312.26
-4.32%
38
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$BTC 从后续降息角度来看,通胀没超预期,也没比预期低很多,美联储暂时就没有很紧迫的理由去降息,大概率还是会保持当前的货币政策,不会轻易就开始降息。 市场目前对 2025 年 9 月 17 日美联储货币政策会议目标利率的预期概率数据为87.2%
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$BTC 大饼日线来到了近期的平行低位,目前也是有企稳的节奏,但是小时级别布林带已经开始发散,说明空头动能还有待延续,现在也是插针之后的常规反弹修复,110000既然已经跌破,下方空间被打开,那么现在还是以空单布局为主,记得带好防守就行。
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$BTC 从四小时级别走势图观察,底背离信号正持续深化,比价走势与MACD、RSI等技术指标间的背离幅度逐步扩大,反映出当前箜头动能已明显减弱,市场内的反弹动能正伴随空头力量衰竭逐步积蓄。 短期技术面虽仍处于偏箜格局——5日、10日均线维持向下发散,比价也持续运行于短期趋势线下方,但核心指标已逼近超卖区间,意味着短期下跌空间已相对有限,超跌反弹的触发阈值正不断降低。
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$BTC 日内给出的看空思路精准止盈洛带轻松拿捏
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$BTC 白盘大饼价格又跌破了前天晚上的低点和日线MA120,日线走势很弱。亚欧盘一直在跌,预计今晚空头还会继续,这次回调可能会深一些。
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