After a 44% surge, can RLC still rise? A single chart to understand the life and death line of bulls and bears!
"Single-day explosive volume up 44%, open interest surged by 109% but net outflow of 49M USDT"—RLC is staging a textbook-level 'pump and dump'疑云. The price is already above the MA200 by 41%, but just below the upper Bollinger Band; the RSI at 37 is low, yet 18.7M tokens are piled up below the 1.55 USDT POC value anchor, becoming the last moat for bulls. If it loses the 1.48 HVN level, it will quickly test the 1.12 high transaction buffer zone; conversely, if it breaks through the 1.56 LVN gap with volume, it could rapidly hit the vacuum area above 1.70.
Key Interval Structure
· Value Anchor: 1.551 (POC, maximum trading volume)
· High Trading Volume Zone: 1.486–1.519, 1.551–1.578 (HVN, buffer/retracement)
· Low Trading Volume Gap: 1.733–1.787 (LVN, breakthrough accelerates)
· 70% Coverage Zone: 1.015–1.680—current price is at the upper end, mildly overbought
Momentum Verification
Up Volume above POC is at 73%, indicating buyer dominance; however, the trading volume in the 1.5–1.55 range has decreased by 9%, be wary of false breakouts.
Strategy (15m Level)
Aggressive: Enter long if a bullish candle with increased volume appears on a pullback to 1.486–1.492, stop loss at 1.470 (below HVN), target 1.551/1.578, risk-reward ratio ≈2.8
Conservative: Wait for a breakout above 1.556 and close above it, then enter on a pullback to 1.551, stop loss at 1.540, target 1.650, risk-reward ratio ≈3.5
Cautious: If it falls below 1.470 and fails to rebound, short it, stop loss at 1.490, target 1.122, risk-reward ratio ≈1.9
Risk Warning
If 1.470 is lost or there is a false breakout above 1.556 quickly returning to the range, the strategy becomes immediately invalid; pay attention to the funding rate turning positive and a sudden drop in open interest.
LP Market Making
It is recommended to place dual-sided orders in the 1.486–1.578 range, using HVN high turnover + LVN low slippage to earn fees; if the price breaks out of the range, withdraw orders in time to avoid one-sided risk.
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