Don't Touch CAKE Lottery! First Look at the 'Scythe Scheme' Accounting Logic

Recently, I saw someone playing the CAKE lottery and couldn't help but shout: don't touch it now! This thing is essentially a 'mathematical trap'. Let me break it down for everyone:

The probability of winning is one in a million, but the first prize is only over 200,000. A lottery ticket costs 5 yuan, so theoretically, you would need to spend 5 million (1 million tickets × 5 yuan) to have a high probability of winning once, and you only end up with over 200,000, making it a pure 'losing deal'.

I've been keeping an eye on this since the prize pool was just a few thousand—didn't participate at all—it's not that I'm smarter, but I've seen through the 'scythe rhythm': now is the 'filling the pit period', luring in newcomers with a low prize pool, and only when the prize pool breaks 30 million will the odds truly become worthwhile (expected to reach this point next year).

I advise everyone: resist the temptation to become a 'filling the pit hero'! Let the impatient newcomers go ahead and donate; we will enter when the prize pool reaches 30 million, and that is the correct rhythm to 'feast on the big meat'.