ADA Market Movement: Can a 500% Increase Be Expected Amid a Whale Withdrawal Trend?

In a turbulent crypto market, Cardano (ADA) has released key signals on-chain: In the past 7 days, 'whales' have withdrawn a total of $170 million ADA from the three major exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, and Upbit, accounting for 0.5% of the circulating supply. This action is not merely a simple transfer but may represent a 'strategic layout' that could impact ADA's mid-term price.

From an on-chain perspective, whales transferring ADA to private cold wallets essentially means 'exiting circulation', directly reducing the amount of marketable chips available, tilting supply and demand towards 'undersupply'. Analysts define this as a 'precursor to supply tightening' and predict: if buying pressure continues in the next 1-2 months, ADA may first break $1.30 (an increase of over 120%); if a bull market coincides with ecological upgrades, it may even aim for $4.50 (a nearly 500% increase).

The rationality of this prediction stems from two points: First, the 'confidence endorsement' of whale behavior, as their long-term lock-up of ADA is an acknowledgment of Cardano's technology and ecosystem, which will guide small and medium investors to form a 'consensus - buying' positive cycle; second, the correlation between supply tightening and price, with historical data showing that when mainstream coins experience a 'sharp decline in exchange inventory + concentrated holdings', volatility tends to rise. The current 0.5% removal of circulating ADA, combined with its market cap and attention, may trigger a 'leveraged surge' when demand spikes.

However, risks still need to be monitored: if whales reverse and transfer tokens back, or take profits in the short term; the crypto market is also affected by macro policies and regulations, and Bitcoin's pullback may drag down ADA. Ordinary traders should focus on two points: whether the support level of $0.58-$0.62 can be maintained, and whether the number of newly added holding addresses on-chain increases weekly.

In the long run, the whale withdrawals may just be the beginning of ADA's valuation reshaping. As the effects of the Cardano Vasil upgrade are released and ecological projects are implemented, its value support will shift from 'emotion-driven' to 'ecosystem-driven'. This 'supply adjustment' may foreshadow subsequent market trends, and whether the 500% increase can be realized will be seen in the next 3-6 months. #币安HODLer空投DOLO #ETH走势分析 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊 #机构筹资布局SOL #币安钱包TGE $CFX $ENA $ETH