HAEDAL/USDT – Analysis and Scenarios (4H)

Current Price: 0.1445 USDT (−3.47%)

Figure: contracting triangle, price at the lower boundary of support.

Technical Picture

EMA(7): 0.1447 – slightly above price → local selling pressure.

EMA(25): 0.1420 – support for the short-term uptrend.

EMA(99): 0.1385 – globally bullish outlook remains.

MACD: weakening momentum, possible bearish cross.

RSI (53.2 / 51.0): neutral → indicates a balance zone.

StochRSI (33.3 / 36.9): there is room for movement in both directions.

Trading Scenarios

🔵 Main (probability ~65%) – Bounce off support

➡️Entry Point: 0.1440–0.1450 (at the lower boundary of the triangle).

Targets:

🎯Target 1: 0.1500 (+3.5%)

🎯Target 2: 0.1600 (+10%)

🎯Target 3: 0.1690 (+17%)

⛔️Stop-loss: below 0.1415 (below the support of the triangle).

Logic: EMA(25) and EMA(99) support the uptrend, a bounce off support may provide new upward momentum.

🔴 Alternative (probability ~35%) – Breakdown

➡️Entry Point (short): breakdown and consolidation below 0.1415.

Targets:

🎯Target 1: 0.1380 (−2.5%)

🎯Target 2: 0.1320 (−8.5%)

⛔️Stop-loss: above 0.1455 (return to the triangle).

Logic: weakness in MACD and testing support → upon a breakdown, the price may accelerate its fall to EMA(99) and below.

$HAEDAL