Key Data and Events to Monitor on August 27

On Wednesday, August 27, 2025, global financial markets will welcome multiple sets of key data and central bank developments, covering core areas such as inflation, consumer confidence, and energy inventories. It is important to focus on the following time points and indicators:

16:00: The release of the Swiss August ZEW Investor Confidence Index will provide a direct reflection of the market's view on the Swiss economic outlook, offering clues for assessing the Swiss National Bank's policy inclination.

18:00: The UK August CBI Retail Sales Balance will be unveiled, focusing on the prosperity of the UK retail sector, which can indirectly reveal the vitality of the UK consumer market and the economic recovery trend.

22:30: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release three sets of energy inventory data — EIA Crude Oil Inventory as of the week ending August 22, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventory, and EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventory. Changes in these data will directly influence international oil prices and subsequently affect the energy sector and related commodity markets.

The next day at 00:45: Federal Reserve official Barkin will deliver a public speech. The market needs to capture his latest remarks on the U.S. economy, inflation, and interest rate policy to anticipate the Fed's subsequent policy path.

From a market interconnection perspective, today's data and events have an implicit transmission chain: for example, changes in U.S. EIA crude oil inventories not only affect the energy market,

but may also indirectly impact U.S. stocks and bonds through the path of "oil price fluctuations → inflation expectation adjustments → Fed policy predictions"; the tone of the Fed official's speech may also inversely influence the short-term trends of non-U.S. currencies such as the British pound and Swiss franc.

Therefore, it is essential to closely monitor the deviation between actual data values and expected values — the greater the deviation, the more intense the short-term market fluctuations, particularly being vigilant of the oil price gap risk before and after the release of crude oil inventory data, as well as rapid exchange rate movements triggered by central bank speeches.

It is recommended to set stop-loss and take-profit orders in advance based on one's own positioning direction to avoid significant losses caused by a single data shock.

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