Attention cryptocurrency enthusiasts! The latest revised global economic data has been released, key indicators for Germany, Switzerland, and the United States have been adjusted, but the overall trend remains unchanged — still 'iron buddies' with the crypto market! President Fuqi will help you understand the opportunities behind the real data!
Germany 🇩🇪: August Consumer Confidence Index -21.5 (not September)
Expectation -19.2, actual -21.5, worse than expected! This indicates that the public is spending more cautiously, economic pressure remains, and poses short-term bearish risks to risk assets.
Switzerland 🇨🇭: July Investor Confidence Index 2.4 (not August)
Although the data is lagging, it has significantly rebounded from the previous value of -2.1, indicating a recovery in market confidence, and funds may shift towards high-risk assets (like cryptocurrencies).
United States 🇺🇸: Crude oil inventory decreased by 3.029 million barrels (not 6.014 million barrels)
Far exceeding expectations at -1.863 million barrels, Cushing inventory increased by 453,000 barrels. Economic vitality exceeds expectations, rising oil prices boost inflation expectations, indirectly benefiting anti-inflation assets (like Bitcoin)!
Correlation Spoiler: How data affects the cryptocurrency market?
Poor economic data (like Germany) → Safe-haven funds → Dollar and gold rise → Short-term pressure on crypto. Good economic data (like US crude oil inventory reduction) → Inflation expectations rise → Bitcoin's anti-inflation properties reassessed. Market sentiment improves (like Switzerland) → Risk appetite increases → Funds flow into crypto and other high-risk assets.
Exclusive conclusion from the president: Current data shows a mix of bullish and bearish signals! The resilience of the US economy (crude oil inventory reduction) is a potential positive, but Europe's weakness (declining confidence in Germany) and leveraged liquidations (900 million USD liquidated in 24 hours) still suppress short-term sentiment.
Market Alert: Keep an eye on these 3 major signals!
Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations: The probability of a rate cut in September has dropped to 52% (from 76% the previous day); if further delayed, risk assets may come under pressure again. Key support level: If Bitcoin falls below 103,000-108,000 USD, it may trigger technical selling. Policy black swan: If Trump's tariff policy (effective August 7) escalates, it could trigger market panic.
Response strategy: Don't let volatility dictate your rhythm!
Short-term: Clear the leverage! 900 million liquidations serve as a warning: high leverage = suicide. Mid-term: A dip is an opportunity! Economic overheating boosts inflation, Bitcoin's 'digital gold' attributes will become prominent. Long-term: Acceleration of compliance! New stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong come into effect (100% reserve + real-name system), opening up traditional fund entry channels.
President Fuqi's summary: Data will be corrected, but the logic remains unchanged! Be cautious about controlling positions in the short term, and accumulate positions when prices dip in the medium to long term. Keep a close eye on Fed Governor Barkin's speech tonight (00:45) and tomorrow's US GDP data! Follow President Fuqi, and flood the comments with 'Fuqi is stable', the president will guide you through bulls and bears!#美联储降息预期 $BTC
