Attention! The risk alert for #NMR has been sounded! Traders have little time left to escape!

NMR has risen to $19.5, but behind this glory lies a crisis. Its surge is due to JPMorgan's investment, expectations of 'asset management on the blockchain', inflows of funds into the AI sector, token deflation, and technical breakthroughs. JPMorgan's entry boosts market confidence, AI funds flow in due to NMR's revenue and backing, token deflation increases scarcity, and technical breakthroughs attract market attention.

However, the risks are significant. The current valuation bubble is enormous, with a PSR of 210 times, far exceeding traditional hedge funds. If Numerai's AI fund fails to meet performance and management scale targets next year, the high valuation will collapse. Additionally, NMR has low trading volume, with the top 10 addresses holding a large portion, making it easy for large funds to cause price flash crashes, and the SEC regulatory risk hangs like a sword of Damocles.

In the short term, NMR is already in the 'FOMO premium zone', with whales preparing to offload between $20 - $22, and retail investors face high risks chasing prices, so it is advisable to take profits in a timely manner. The long-term trend depends on the performance and scale of the AI fund; if it does not meet targets, a decline is likely.

In terms of operations, wait for NMR to pull back to $15 - $16 (institutional cost zone) to build positions in batches, with a stop-loss below $14; if it stabilizes above $25 and the AI fund's scale exceeds $800 million, one can add positions on the right side. Control positions to no more than 3%, buy put options for hedging, and closely monitor whale movements.

While NMR is expected to rise to $30, the risks are extremely high, so it is crucial to invest rationally and prioritize capital preservation.

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