Summary

$COOKIE Short-term bias: neutral-to-cautious — price has rallied from ~0.12 and is now contending with MA99 (~0.135); a volume-confirmed break is required for conviction.

• Main catalyst: active airdrop/staking programs and scheduled token unlocks.

• Market note: listed on major venues with improved liquidity, but sensitive to CEX inflows.

Analysis

1H structure shows short-term momentum (MA7 > MA25) but resistance at MA99 keeps upside in check; subdued volume means false breakouts are possible. Fundamentally, COOKIE’s staking/airdrop mechanics support user engagement yet unlock schedules represent a recurring supply-side risk — monitor on-chain transfers to CEX and large holder movements closely.

Strategy

  • Entry: probe on a 1H close above 0.137–0.138 or consider small entries on clear rejection near 0.129–0.131.

  • Stop-loss: 0.119 (explicit).

  • TP1 / TP2: TP1 = 0.148, TP2 = 0.162.

  • Exit triggers: significant unlock events, large CEX inflows, or negative headlines — exit early if those occur.