September is destined to be a bustling month in the crypto circle—because tokens worth $1 billion are about to be unlocked one after another! This means some high-risk tokens may bring short-term volatility, but for large blue chips like #BTC and #solana , the impact can be almost negligible.📈💥

So, what does this wave of unlocking really mean? How should traders layout in advance? Let's break it down.

📅 This month's small unlock, September welcomes a big wave

According to the latest data from DefiLlama, the unlocking schedule distribution is quite interesting:

  • August 25: The first small-scale unlock, about 40 million tokens entered the market;

  • August 29: A small climax arrived, with the unlock quantity surging to 280 million tokens;

  • September: The real supply wave has come—at the beginning of the month 180 million tokens, the largest batch in mid-month 350 million tokens, gradually decreasing to below 50 million tokens by September 21.

代币解锁

In the short term, the weekly unlock amount is about $227.8 million, and market pressure is still controllable. But don't forget, the cumulative unlock in the next 30 days is as high as $838.5 million. If holders choose to sell at that time, the volatility will be significant.💸

⚠️ High-risk tokens to watch: TRUMP and SVL

In this round of unlocking, the biggest risks are #TRUMP and #SVL :

  • TRUMP: Unlocking ratio 6.83%, worth about $178.67 million. If holders liquidate collectively, the market may face short-term selling pressure;

  • SVL: Also a high-risk supply event, worth keeping an eye on;

In contrast, BTC and SOL are relatively stable:

  • Although the unlock volume of BTC reached an absolute value of $1.58 billion, it only accounts for 0.07% of the total supply;

  • The unlock volume of SOL is only 0.36%.

In other words, large blue chips have limited short-term volatility, but high-risk tokens may become small episodes or 'surprises' in the market.😎

比特币

💡 Key points for traders to note

  1. Time window: Large-scale unlocking is concentrated in mid-September, and the short-term market may reprice;

  2. Liquidity pressure: The current weekly unlocks are controllable, but the cumulative effect cannot be ignored;

  3. Major events overlap: The FOMC meeting and Powell's speech are also in the same time frame, risk-averse sentiment may increase, amplifying volatility;

  4. Strategy reference: Maintain a neutral to slightly bullish expectation on BTC and SOL, while being cautious of short-term selling pressure on TRUMP and SVL.

In simple terms, large blue chips are stable, high-risk tokens need more attention, and laying out in advance or controlling positions will be safer.⚖️

🔮 Summary

This round of token unlocking can be regarded as a 'liquidity experiment':

  • BTC and SOL structures are stable, and short-term volatility is controllable;

  • TRUMP and SVL may bring short-term shocks, but the overall market can still digest it;

  • For traders, the period around mid-September will be a key window; catching the rhythm may reveal opportunities;

  • Although market fluctuations are unavoidable, understanding supply conditions in advance can help you avoid being 'harvested'.

Crypto friends, stay tuned, don't be scared by the numbers, layout reasonably, and follow the trend is the hard truth.💪🔥

✍️ Remember to DYOR, manage risk well, and wish everyone smooth sailing in the crypto world!🌊

Many understand the trend, but few follow the right rhythm.

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