Everyone screaming that CYCLES CHANGED and we are dumping HARD!
But pattern leaves the same showing we are about to pump rn
I researched all the data, macro and found smth shocking
Here are what's happening, history patterns and when altseason will be
1/➫ Everyone keeps yelling “this cycle is different” but the data says otherwise
❍ Bitcoin still runs on the same pattern: liquidity drives the pump, greed fuels the altseason, and macro sets the timing
❍ Here’s why the cycle isn’t broken, just stretched
2/➫ The market has always followed the same rhythm:
❍ Accumulation ➛ Green phase (steady growth) ➛ Parabolic pump ➛ Red phase (sharp drawdown) ➛ Recovery
❍ Since 2011, every cycle has played out this way
❍ Nothing about that core structure has changed
3/➫ Bitcoin is deeply tied to the business cycle
❍ When central banks expand liquidity, BTC rallies – when they tighten, BTC crashes
❍ Green means expansion, red means contraction
❍ That macro rhythm, not the halving, has always been the real engine behind cycles
4/➫ Look back: 2013, 2017, 2021
❍ Each time, BTC soared during green liquidity, topped as liquidity peaked, then dumped into recessionary red
❍ Only after brutal drawdowns did new accumulation begin
❍ The four-year rhythm is just a mirror of macro cycles
5/➫ In this cycle, BTC bottomed near $16K in late 2022, then recovered through 2023–2024
❍ This has been the long green phase: steady inflows, gradual growth, rising dominance
❍ But the red phase hasn’t even started yet – the cycle is still incomplete
6/➫ Why does it feel “longer”? Because macro stayed tighter for longer.
❍ Fed policy stretched this green ramp by keeping rates high while liquidity kept flowing elsewhere
❍ Call it what you want, but it’s the same cycle taking more time to play out
7/➫ Bitcoin always leads
❍ At first, BTC outperforms, dominance climbs, and alts lag
❍ Only once BTC cools and traders chase higher beta does the rotation begin
❍ ETH gains first, then quality alts, and only at the end does retail FOMO spill into everything
8/➫ Altseason hasn’t arrived yet, but that doesn’t mean it’s gone
❍ ETH/BTC is starting to turn, BTC dominance is rolling over, and liquidity is primed to rotate
❍ That’s the same setup we’ve seen before – late, but still coming
9/➫ Macro is setting the stage for the next pump
❍ Fed rate cuts are on the table in September
❍ Over $7T parked in money market funds is waiting for yields to fall
❍ When that cash rotates back into risk assets, crypto is one of the first doors it’ll hit
10/➫ The likely sequence is simple:
❍ First a final BTC pump, then a broad altseason led by ETH, then the inevitable crash as liquidity tightens again
❍ The next red wave is certain, only its timing is still ahead
11/➫ This cycle feels unusual only because it’s slower, not because it’s different
❍ We haven’t seen the final blow-off or the true altseason yet
❍ We’re still in the middle of it – and history says the script will finish the same way
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.