One, predicting the 'time difference' strike: running 30 days ahead of the market
On July 1, when the market was still grappling with whether 'Q3 could drop back to 90,000?', Jin Dachuan directly threw out (the long-term strategy for the third quarter), writing the 'monthly script' for BTC 30 days in advance:
- July Core: Bullish flag pattern oscillation → Breakthrough 110,000 and stabilize
- August script: Rely on 110,000 to push to 120,000 → Quarter-end rebalancing to retest 110,000
How many people thought it was 'wishful thinking' at that time? Looking back now—every K-line is replicating the prediction, precisely as if the market was pre-recorded!
Two, July: Technical 'dimensionality reduction strike', precise guidance of bullish flag pattern
Prediction logic breakdown:
✅ Macro anchor point: The July Federal Reserve meeting released 'easing expectations', capital risk appetite soared, and BTC, as a risk asset, benefited first;
✅ Technical model: Pre-drawing the 'bullish flag pattern' (range 108,500-98,500), predicting the complete path of 'retesting the lower edge of the flag → breaking through the top of the flag → stabilizing at 110,000'.
Actual trend verification:
BTC started around 98,000, perfectly oscillating within the flag pattern, accurately breaking above 110,000 and stabilizing at the beginning of the month! It even unexpectedly surged to 120,000!
Three, August: Macro rhythm 'timing king', ETF + quarter-end rebalancing double blow
Prediction logic breakdown:
✅ Sentiment engine: After stabilizing at 110,000, market expectations for 'BTC ETF approval' continued to heat up, with capital flooding in to push prices higher;
✅ Capital dark line: Traditional financial market 'quarter-end rebalancing' pressure transmission, the cryptocurrency market being passively pressured, predicting 'after hitting 120,000, it will fall back to 110,000.'
Actual trend verification:
- Mid-month violently surged to 120,000, reaching a high of 124,545;
- End of the month accurately retesting the 110,000 support (currently the lowest 108,567.4, infinitely close to 110,000), even the timing of the retracement (the last week of the quarter) is pinpointed!
Four, why can Jin Dachuan be so precise? Understand the 'three-layer underlying logic'
It's not luck; it's a systematic deduction of 'technical patterns + macro events + capital behavior':
1. Capture structure on the technical side: Use the 'bullish flag pattern' to frame the volatility range, predicting the rhythm of 'oscillation → breakthrough → retest' in advance;
2. Monitor macro nodes: Focus on key events like the Federal Reserve's rate decision and ETF approval, predicting the 'warming → cooling' of capital sentiment;
3. Track capital flow: Understand the rules of traditional market 'quarter-end rebalancing' to accurately grasp retracement timing.
(Analogy: It's like knowing in advance 'where the enemy will ambush at which intersection, and at what time they will retreat', calculating every step to the bone!)
Five, September suspense: 120,000 → 140,000? It depends on this 'winning hand'
Returning to the prediction from July 1, the September script is even more exciting:
'After the Federal Reserve's September rate decision, BTC is expected to stabilize at 120,000, aiming for 130,000 or even 140,000, but caution is needed for restrictive policy attacks (if they occur, the price may fall back to 100,000)'
As of the end of August, it has perfectly bounced back to 110,000, corresponding to the 'retracement accumulation' phase. The key variables moving forward:
✅ Will the Federal Reserve's rate decision be 'more easing than expected'? (Directly affects capital risk appetite)
✅ Will restrictive policies cause a 'black swan attack'? (Need to closely monitor regulatory dynamics)
Based on the prediction accuracy of the previous two months, the 'breakthrough battle' in September is worth closely monitoring—after all, those who can lock in two months of rhythm in advance, do you dare to underestimate their judgment for September?
Final blow:
The cryptocurrency circle is not short of 'post-event analysts', but those who can 'write the market script 30 days in advance, crushing with technical + macro dual dimensions, and hit every node precisely' have shown true skill to the market this time.
Friends who kept pace in July and August have already reaped the rewards; the '120,000 → 140,000 breakthrough battle' in September, comment 'keep up', the bus won't wait for anyone!
