In the old teahouse at the border of Chaoshan and Minnan, Brother Te always arranged three tea cups in a triangle — the 5-day line is that rough earthen cup, the 30-day line is a celadon cup, and the 60-day line is an ancient purple clay pot.
The businessman from Zhangzhou chuckled while twisting the tea stem: 'The crypto world is like this kung fu tea; drinking it in a hurry burns your mouth, but if you let it sit too long, it loses its flavor.' No one knows that eight years ago he had torn up a bill of 'more than negative ten' here, and now, the numbers in his account are followed by six zeros, all relying on this net woven by these three moving averages.
One, three moving averages = three doctors: Brother Te's 'Market Diagnosis Technique'
'Don't trust the flashy K-line patterns; moving averages are the ECG of the market.' Brother Te tapped on the trading software, breaking down how to use the three lines like the steps of brewing kung fu tea:
5-day line: Emergency department head
The fastest to react, when the price rises, it rushes to the front like an ambulance; when it falls, it sounds the alarm first. When BTC surged to 60,000 in 2021, the 5-day line suddenly turned down; Brother Te cleared 30% of his position that day — three days later, the market plummeted 15%.
30-day line: Internal medicine expert
Focus on the medium-term trend, like an old Chinese medicine doctor taking the pulse. When ETH was sideways in 2022, the 30-day line remained flat. Brother Te said, 'This is gathering strength,' and sure enough, two months later, it surged 80%.
60-day line: The esteemed old director
The dividing line between bulls and bears. Brother Te's iron law: 'Any coin that falls below the 60-day line without looking back is like a patient breaking below the lifeline — don't save it, let it go.' Before the LUNA crash in 2022, the 60-day line had already turned down; he cleared his position a month in advance and avoided the zeroing disaster.
The most extraordinary moment is when the three lines converge: In March 2020, the 5-day line of BTC just climbed above the 30-day line and stepped on the 60-day line to surge upwards, Brother Te immediately mortgaged his house to increase his position. The subsequent story is well known — during that bull market, his account changed from 'negative 5' to 'positive 30.'
Two, hiding in the bathroom to liquidate on the wedding day: Discipline is harder than moving averages.
At Brother Te's wedding, guests were clamoring to create a ruckus in the bridal chamber, but he took his phone and dove into the bathroom.
That day, BTC's 5-day line suddenly fell below the 30-day line, like a needle bursting a festive balloon. 'At that time, my wife's wedding dress hadn't been changed yet; I squatted on the toilet placing sell orders, my hands were shaking.' When he came out, there were 2 less in his account, but three days later, the market dropped 30% — by hiding, he avoided a loss equivalent to half a year’s salary.
An even more painful lesson was in 2019. When ETH rose to 400 dollars that year, the moving average system signaled a death cross, but Brother Te felt 'it can still rise' and manually turned off the automatic stop-loss. What happened? He watched profits shrink from 70% to only 20%; in the trading room, he smashed a hole in the keyboard, and from then on, a line was added to the wall: System over human nature.
'The worst in the crypto world is not the market makers, but your own greed.' Brother Te touched the tea stains on the cup, 'The moving averages already told you to leave, but you insist on waiting for 'a little more increase' — this is like a doctor telling you to stop the medication, but you have to take three more pills; you won't die, but you will get hurt.'
Three, dollar-cost averaging against the trend during the LUNA crash: the 'Group Behavior Analysis' taught by moving averages.
On the day of the LUNA crash in 2022, the entire crypto world felt like it had been hit by a bomb.
In the community, some shouted 'buy the dip,' while others cursed 'it's over,' but Brother Te was focused on the moving averages on the screen: below the 60-day line, the 5-day and 30-day lines were twisted together, and the green bars shrunk like a matchstick. 'This isn't despair; it's over-panic.' He opened his dollar-cost averaging software and set it to 'buy 1000U for every 5% drop.'
Three months later, when the market crawled up from the ruins, the coins he dollar-cost averaged rose 120%. 'Others look at the price, I look at the people behind the moving averages,' Brother Te said. '90% of people are guessing the K-line ups and downs, 9% are watching the market makers, and only 1% understand: when the moving averages converge, it's everyone's emotions clashing; when the moving averages diverge, it's the collective consensus charging forward.'
Just like when DOGE surged in 2021, the 5-day line had distanced itself from the 30-day line; Brother Te said, 'This is retail investors in collective jubilation,' and liquidated his position three days in advance. Later, during that crash, many were trapped at the peak, but he held cash and drank tea.
Four, Brother Te's 'Moving Average Survival Manual': A guide that ordinary players can also use.
Now, in Brother Te's trading room, besides the calligraphy saying 'Observe moving averages like military strategies,' there's a yellowed paper with three iron laws written for newcomers:
Buy at 'Golden Cross Resonance': The 5-day line crosses above the 30-day line while standing firm on the 60-day line, like the three armies meeting — the 200% increase in SOL in 2023 started just like this;
Sell at 'Death Cross Lineup': The 5-day line crosses below the 30-day line, and the 60-day line starts to turn; don't wait for a second signal — last year, BTC fell from 40,000 to 28,000; when this signal came out, run, it could save you from losing 40%;
If you don't understand, wait for the three lines to align: In a bull market, all three lines point upwards; in a bear market, all point downwards; during sideways movement, just drink tea — Brother Te used this trick to make only 3 trades during the bear market in 2022 while earning 50%.
'Don't learn those flashy indicators; understand the three moving averages, and you'll surpass over 90% of people.' He refilled his tea cup, 'The crypto world is not a casino; it's a battlefield. The moving averages are your map; holding it doesn't guarantee a win, but at least you won't die.'
As he left the teahouse, the sea breeze from Chaoshan wafted the fragrance of tea over. Brother Te said at last, 'Eight years ago, I thought the crypto world was about who had more guts; later I understood, it's about who understands 'waiting' more.'
Wait for the 5-day line to climb above the 30-day line, wait for the three lines to twist into a single rope, wait for the market's emotions to reveal themselves on the moving averages — just like waiting for a good pot of tea; you can't rush it, nor can you be slow.
Want to know how to catch the next opportunity with moving averages? Follow me, tomorrow I'll post Brother Te's hand-drawn (moving average signal reference chart), which marks the three coins most likely to start in 2024.
In the bull market, we rely on moving averages, not luck.
