Aaron Arnold expects 1,000 XRP to be valued between $5,000 and $9,000 by 2026, depending on the price of Bitcoin.

The transition of RLUSD to the XRP Ledger could accelerate token burning and network activity.

Eleven companies with assets totaling $240 billion have applied for approval for XRP exchange-traded funds.

Aaron Arnold, founder of Altcoin Daily, presented XRP price scenarios up to 2026, focusing on how the value of 1,000 XRP tokens, currently valued at $2,940, could rise based on market conditions. He links his analysis of XRP's potential performance to Bitcoin's trajectory and factors of institutional adoption.

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Arnold expects two main scenarios: if the price of Bitcoin reaches $150,000, the price of XRP could exceed $5, making the value of 1,000 tokens $5,000, while a rise in the price of Bitcoin to $250,000 could push the currency to $9, equivalent to $9,000. These forecasts assume that cryptocurrencies with actual use will benefit from Bitcoin's momentum during the current cycle.

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The stablecoin RLUSD could incentivize network transition.

Arnold highlighted that Ripple's stablecoin RLUSD is a key driver, noting its growth to over $686 million within eight months of its launch. This makes RLUSD the second fastest-growing stablecoin in 2025, after USDTB from BlackRock.

Currently, most RLUSD activity occurs on Ethereum, but Arnold anticipates a shift to the XRP Ledger as institutions seek faster and more cost-effective transaction pathways. This transition could enhance network activity by accelerating the rate of token consumption through increased transaction volumes.

The growth trajectory of the stablecoin indicates its potential to capture market share from seasoned players if the anticipated transition to the XRP Ledger occurs. However, the network effects and current liquidity pools on Ethereum create conversion costs that may slow adoption.

Requests for exchange-traded funds indicate institutional interest.

Arnold confirmed that eleven companies managing assets worth over $240 billion have applied for XRP exchange-traded funds. He compared this to the approval of the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, which helped raise the value of Bitcoin from $45,000 to over $100,000 in 2024.

The analyst noted that similar institutional flows could drive the price of XRP up, although regulatory approval remains uncertain. The recent launch of Teucrium's XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) has attracted demand, indicating institutional interest in investing in XRP through traditional investment vehicles.

Arnold pointed to Ripple's focus on compliance, having obtained over 60 global regulatory licenses, positioning the company for institutional adoption. The comparison made by CEO Sal Gilbertie of Ripple's approach to investment banking suggests a systematic market expansion rather than speculative growth.

Despite his optimistic projections, Arnold's target of $9 seems conservative compared to community forecasts of exceeding $20 during the same timeframe.