The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 82.8%
According to Jinshi Data, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 17.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 82.8%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 10%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 55.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 34.5%.