2025-08-25 Night Line

In the afternoon, I went to deliver a motorcycle to the logistics center, no battery + no fuel, I pushed it twice, and in the evening I went to wash the car, and it got late when I came back.

My method to relieve anxiety is to look at the market less, and try not to stare at it. As long as the overall trend hasn't reversed before, just enter in batches as long as it hasn't completely turned around. If you're not willing to average down, just gradually reduce your position and manage it well. You won't make a lot of money, but you won't die either. As long as you're alive, there's hope, take it slow.

For Ethereum, entering on the right side requires a volume break over 4695 here. On the left side, not catching that floating spike is also very normal. If you're bold, just enter now and set a stop loss at the previous low. If you want to be cautious, wait until the US stock market opens to see the attitude of the institutions.

The lower level of 4454 is too deep, currently not visible. It's at the Fibonacci 0.5 position, still okay, with some speculative value.

Bitcoin is still in a downward channel on the 4-hour chart and hasn't broken out, along with continuous lower highs and lower lows. If the main force doesn't act tonight and it further declines, touching 1093-1106 is very normal, and 1106 has already been tested once. At this point, entering at the bottom is actually not as good as waiting for it to break 1121 with volume or to see it close once on the 4-hour line at 1121 before entering again.

SOL's stop-loss position has been tested at this location before, used twice at most, and if it goes again, it might break. This position is also the Fibonacci 0.5, with speculative value. If you enter a position now, set the stop loss at the previous low. Below is 195, the approach on the right side is to wait for a volume break over 200, or to see it close once on the 4-hour line above 200 before entering, setting the stop loss at 0.3-0.5% below the lower edge of the previous candle.

The left side is “prediction,” which is inherently high-risk and low accuracy, but if done right, the entry position will be better than the right side. The right side means not predicting, just following; after it breaks out, then enter. The probability of being wrong is low (if encountering narrow frequency oscillations or rapid oscillations, you will “go long at the peak” and “short at the floor”). This can only be said to have its pros and cons.

I can only explain the direction I understand, and the positions on the left and right respectively; this only represents my personal viewpoint, and it’s perfectly fine if I’m wrong, this is for reference only. Your position still needs to be your own responsibility; I ask for nothing else, just please go easy on the criticism when I’m wrong.

Let's patiently wait until 9:30 to see what attitude the ETF has.