📅 Date: 24th Aug 2025
💰 Current Price: $112,688.75
📊 Trend: Short-Term Bearish within a Larger Consolidation
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🔎 Technical Analysis (TA)
BTC is in a short-term downtrend, but approaching a critical support cluster that could decide the next major move.
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📉 Trend Analysis
Price vs EMAs:
Below EMA(7) $114,420.47
Below EMA(25) $115,779.81
Testing EMA(99) $110,942.36
✅ Structure = bearish short-term trend, but EMA(99) + 24h low support is a strong demand zone.
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🏦 Support & Resistance
🔑 Immediate Support: $110,680 (24h Low & EMA 99 confluence)
🔑 Next Major Support: $106,070
🚀 Immediate Resistance: EMA(7) $114,420
🚀 Key Resistance Zone: $115,200 – $115,800 (EMA25 + 24h High cluster)
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📊 Momentum Indicators
RSI(6): 37.05 → Neutral but leaning oversold, selling pressure slowing.
StochRSI: 17.58 → Oversold (below 20), signals possible bounce.
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📉 Volume & Market Structure
Price is near major support with oversold momentum → market is primed for either a technical bounce or a breakdown with high momentum.
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🔮 Price Prediction
Bullish Case (60%): Bounce from $110,680–$111,000 → test $114,400 (EMA7) → possible extension to $115,200 – $115,800.
Bearish Case (40%): Breakdown below $110,680 → sharp move towards $106,070.
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📌 Trade Plan
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🟢 Plan A: Oversold Bounce (Aggressive Long)
Entry Zone: $110,800 – $111,200 (watch for rejection candles / rising volume).
Stop-Loss: $110,200 (below support).
Take-Profit 1: $114,200 (EMA7 resistance → close 50%).
Take-Profit 2: $115,500 (EMA25/24h High cluster → close 50%).
✅ RR Ratio: ~1:2.5
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🔴 Plan B: Breakdown Trade (Conservative Short)
Trigger: 4H candle close below $110,600.
Entry Zone: $110,400 – $110,600.
Stop-Loss: $111,800 (above breakdown / EMA99).
Take-Profit: $106,100 (next support).
✅ RR Ratio: ~1:3.7
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⚠️ Risk Management
Risk only 1-2% per trade.
Watch BTC dominance & ETH → they guide market direction.
News/ETF/FOMC events can override technicals.
TRADE FROM HERE 👉 $BTC
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✅ Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break zone near $110,680. Momentum shows oversold, giving bulls a chance for a bounce. If it fails, expect a sharper correction to $106,000.
👉 Stick to the plan, trade with discipline, and always use SL.
🔔 Follow for live BTC updates!
#BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #bitcoin #BTCUSDT
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