📈 $BTC (2025-08-25 08:01) | Long/Short Trend Index: 42 / 100 (Bearish)

📈 $BTC (2025-08-24 08:35) | Long/Short Trend Index: 55 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)
BTC is currently priced at $115,438. In the past 48 hours, the price initially surged to the $117,000 level, then retraced and stabilized in the $115,000~$116,000 range. Short-term momentum has somewhat recovered, but the medium-term moving averages still show significant resistance, and MACD shows initial signs of stabilization. If it can break above $116,800 with volume, it may challenge the $118,500 area again; otherwise, it may retrace to test the $114,000 support. Overall, it is in a consolidation and recovery pattern, biased towards bullish in the short term, but the trend has not fully reversed.



🔹 Multi-timeframe Candle Trend Assessment:
15-minute chart: MA7/25 golden cross followed by a pullback, MACD green bars shortening, RSI 60.69 close to the strong zone, short-term bullish;
1-hour chart: MA7/25 crosses above MA99 and flattens, MACD stabilizes near the zero line, RSI 53.20, showing strong oscillation;
4-hour chart: MA7/25 gradually converging, initial MACD golden cross forming, RSI 53.44, in recovery but with limited strength;
Daily chart: MA7 stabilizes and rises close to MA25, MACD death cross momentum converging, RSI 51.64 returns above the midline;
Weekly chart: Long-term structure remains healthy, MACD red bars maintained, RSI 61.22 in the strong zone, long-term trend still bullish.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Golden cross signs on 15m/1H/4H, daily death cross momentum weakening, weekly maintains red bars;
RSI: Short-term returns to the 50~60 range, indicating rebound momentum, daily stabilizing above the midline, weekly remains strong;
Moving Average System: Short-term golden cross formation, medium-term moving averages still under pressure, long-term bullish trend unchanged;
Trading Volume: Significant volume increase during the upward phase, decreased volume during the pullback, indicating bullish support but breakout needs confirmation.

🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 hours):
1. [Bloomberg | August 23, 21:40] Federal Reserve Governor states "the possibility of a September rate cut has increased," causing the dollar index to retreat, benefiting risk assets;
2. [CryptoQuant | August 23, 20:15] BTC net outflow from exchanges of 9,200 coins, a new high in nearly 10 days, with funds continuing to shift to cold wallets;
3. [The Block | August 23, 18:50] CME BTC futures open interest reaches historical high, with clear institutional accumulation intent;
4. [Reuters | August 23, 17:30] The US Treasury Department announces an extension of the regulatory hearing on crypto assets, temporarily easing market regulatory pressure.