Bitcoin has been trading around $115,000 after smashing into new highs this summer. The excitement is real, but leading analysts are flashing warnings: the current bull cycle may be entering its final stage. Could the top be just around the corner? Let’s dive in. 👇
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📊 Ali’s Glassnode Analysis – “Things Could Get Wild”
Crypto analyst @ali_charts recently shared a Glassnode study comparing Bitcoin’s current cycle with previous ones.
Here’s what the data reveals:
2015–2018 cycle: ~9,000% growth before the top.
2018–2022 cycle: A smaller ~1,600% increase.
2022–2025 cycle: Already showing explosive gains.
Ali’s conclusion is clear: each cycle delivers diminishing returns, and the current one is following the same rhythm. Based on this pattern, he expects the next top could hit by October 2025.
His words were simple but powerful:
👉 “Things could get wild.”
Translation: we could see a crazy final rally in the short term, but a market peak may be closer than most expect.
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📈 Rekt Capital’s Progress Chart – “93.8% Complete”
Another highly respected voice, Rekt Capital, has a slightly different way of looking at things—but the conclusion is similar. On August 14th, he shared a chart highlighting Bitcoin’s bull market progress.
In both 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin peaked about two years after halving events.
His latest chart shows the 2025 cycle is already 93.8% complete.
Only the final parabolic advance remains. ⚡
And history shows what happens in this stage:
Prices surge at extreme speed.
Market euphoria reaches its peak.
And soon after, a sharp correction kicks in.
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🔥 What This Means for Bitcoin
Both Ali and Rekt Capital agree on one thing: the clock is ticking.
Ali believes the next 2 months could bring the top.
Rekt Capital estimates the bull run is already 94% done.
That leaves investors with a tricky situation:
Short-term: There’s still room for an explosive rally. 📈
Long-term: History suggests a cooling-off phase—or even a bear market—will follow. 🐻
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🧠 How Smart Investors Should Think
This stage of the bull market is the most dangerous. Why?
Because:
The parabolic rally is tempting, but it rarely lasts.
Emotions like greed and FOMO blind traders.
History has shown that after euphoria comes pain.
The winning strategy here is simple:
Stay disciplined.
Use risk management.
Don’t let hype control your decisions.
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🚀 Final Thoughts
The Bitcoin bull run isn’t over yet—but it may be nearing its grand finale. The next few weeks could bring breathtaking gains, followed by the type of correction that has defined every past cycle.
Whether you’re holding or trading, remember this: the final phase of a bull market is both the most rewarding and the most dangerous.
Patience and discipline could be the difference between walking away with massive profits—or getting caught in the downturn.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #btcbullrun #CryptoTrading #MarketCycles