1. Summary

$SOL is around $204.53 after a strong jump to $208.62 and currently side-pulling on short MAs; short-term bias bullish but needs follow-through volume.

• Price: $204.53; catalyst: impulse candle + volume spike; monitor inflows/whales.

2. Analysis

MA7 (~203.8) has crossed above MA25 (~202.7) and MA99 (~189.1) — technical structure leaning bullish; RSI 1H ~67 (not overbought yet but approaching high territory). Near support at $195.8, stronger zone at $174.0; immediate resistance at $208.6 (high), extension if breakout $220–$235. Volume has a spike confirming leg up but is tapering — continuation needs additional volume; on-chain inflows or transfers to CEX will determine further pump or sell-off.

3. Strategy

Entry:

  • Scenario A (Continuation/Breakout): enter when 1H closes > $209 with clear volume (>MA20). Use limit/close-based entry.

  • Scenario B (Pullback): snipe buy $195–$199 if there's wick rejection + 1H reversal; add when holding above $195.8.

Stop-loss: $191 (set below the support zone to avoid noise sweep).

Take-profit: TP1: $208.62 (take some profit at near high); TP2: $220–$235 (extension, scale out gradually if momentum continues). If breakout lacks volume → lower TP1 to $206–$207 to preserve capital.

Exit triggers: detect large transfers → CEX, whale sell alerts, or RSI 1H >80 with decreasing volume → exit immediately. Always use limit/probe orders; avoid market orders when liquidity is thin.