The Federal Reserve "shows its cards": Anything is possible before September, how should the crypto world respond?
I am Mig, today I will translate the Federal Reserve's latest signals for my brothers in plain language——
The core points are three:
Don't fixate on one meeting (whether or not there will be a rate cut in September is not important, what matters is the long-term trend)
Inflation is still a major concern (they say "the impact of tariffs will fade," but the data remains a warning)
The employment report determines life or death (if the next data crashes, a rate cut will quickly turn into "emergency rescue mode")
My personal analysis:
The Federal Reserve is like a "wait-and-see" Didi driver — the route is planned, but it may change at any time due to traffic jams (poor data) or taking shortcuts (employment crash).
The key phrase is "the interest rate path may include a pause in rate cuts," meaning: even if there is a cut in September, there may suddenly be a stop later on!
Impact on the crypto world:
Short-term: BTC is likely to continue fluctuating (the Federal Reserve's ambiguous period, funds are hesitant to go all in)
Medium-term: Once employment data weakens, expectations for rate cuts will rise, and the countdown for U-based frenzy begins (refer to the +5% performance of BTC after June's non-farm data)
Risk point: If inflation rebounds again... the Federal Reserve may directly perform a "hawkish pause," and a 10% bloodbath in the crypto world is not a dream
It's like dating — the Federal Reserve says "I might marry you (cut rates), but it depends on your next performance (employment data)," playing the role of a jerk clearly!
Before the non-farm data is released, don't exceed 50% in your positions! Want to know how to hedge against the Federal Reserve's "face-changing" risk with options? #杰克逊霍尔会议
Want to make money in the crypto world? Just follow Mig! Market trends, strategies, potential coins, one-stop solution! Click on the avatar to follow now!