黄焖鸡分析
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This August, just like last August, ETH can see 8200. So when will altcoins take off, and what are the conditions for the start of the altcoin season? (Part Three)
Everyone remember, the altcoin season has two prerequisites: the market must have very high certainty for a broad altcoin rally to occur, with 60% of altcoins rising more than BTC to be called altcoin season.
1. The liquidity environment has significantly improved (macroeconomic fundamentals):
Monetary policy shifts to easing
Fed interest rate cut expectations are met, lowering the risk-free rate and boosting risk appetite. If inflation is controllable (e.g., core PCE falls below 2.5%), liquidity easing will directly benefit altcoins.
Current Progress: Powell signals a rate cut in September, but it has yet to materialize; liquidity improvement is still in the expectation phase.
1. The liquidity environment has significantly improved (macroeconomic fundamentals):
Monetary policy shifts to easing
Fed interest rate cut expectations are met, lowering the risk-free rate and boosting risk appetite. If inflation is controllable (e.g., core PCE falls below 2.5%), liquidity easing will directly benefit altcoins.
Current Progress: Powell signals a rate cut in September, but it has yet to materialize; liquidity improvement is still in the expectation phase.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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