This year's bull market is truly different!
How is this bull market different from 2021? In one sentence: the cyclical patterns are still there, but the rules of the game have changed!
In the bull market of 2021, the timing, location, and people were all in favor. The halving of $BTC coincided with the Federal Reserve's crazy money printing, flooding the market with cash. However, by the end of the year, inflation skyrocketed, leading to rate hikes, and the bull market came to a direct halt.
Now, it’s the second year after the halving again, but the macro environment has completely reversed! The Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates for at least 26 years. With a looser money supply, the market has more confidence, but BTC and $ETH are still hitting new highs while altcoins are collectively lying flat.
This shows that cyclical patterns are still present, but market funds are only focused on top assets.
Currently, the market is in a frenzy, how should small investors operate:
First, for those who believe in the halving cycle, reduce positions when new highs are reached, and don’t stubbornly fight against the trend;
For those who are watching the Federal Reserve's actions, just continue to hold BTC and ETH;
Finally, the safest approach is to combine both strategies, being able to attack when opportunities arise and defend when necessary.
In short, this year's bull market is not solely based on the cycle; the influence of macro policies is stronger. Therefore, every step taken must be more cautious and careful, with thorough consideration. If you are unsure and want to avoid detours, focus on the main themes and join the quality core family~!
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