1. Current context
• BNB has surpassed its previous ATH (~$882) and is fluctuating around $898–$899, close to the psychological threshold of $900.
• This is a very important milestone because if it surpasses and holds above $900, the market will see it as a true breakout, opening up room for the $1,000 mark.
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2. Technical basis for the $1,000 mark
• Strong support: $830–$840. This is the 'floor' of the latest increase. If the price remains above this zone, the upward trend remains strong.
• Psychological resistance: $900 → $950 → $1,000. Among them:
• $900 is a major psychological milestone, traders often take short-term profits here.
• $950 is the next technical resistance zone (Fibonacci extension peak 1.618).
• $1,000 is a very strong resistance level both technically and symbolically (round number).
• Indicators:
• RSI is in the high range (~70) → indicates strong buying power but also warns of potential short-term correction.
• MACD is slightly weakening, signaling a potential 'cool down' phase before bouncing up to $1,000.
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3. Supporting factors beyond the technicals
• Binance ecosystem: The trading volume of spot & futures on Binance still leads, and transaction fees paid in BNB create natural buying pressure.
• Recent events: The launch of BTC futures ETF on Binance has increased the demand for BNB, pushing the price close to $900.
• Institutional cash flow: Reports from Asia indicate that family offices are increasing their crypto allocations, with BNB being a popular choice due to its connection to Binance.
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4. Risks that may hinder the $1,000 mark
• Short-term correction: Due to high RSI, a pullback to $850–$870 is entirely possible before bouncing back up.
• Legal issues: Some problems with Binance (such as in Australia – AUSTRAC requiring external audits) may affect market confidence.
• General market: If BTC or ETH drops sharply around the Fed event (Powell – Jackson Hole), BNB may also be swept along.
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5. Short-term scenario until the end of 2025
• Bullish case (60% probability): Holding above $850 → breaking $900 → testing $950 → approaching $1,000.
• Neutral case (30%): Fluctuating around $880–$920 to accumulate, waiting for more cash flow.
• Bearish case (10%): If it breaks below $830, the price may return to $780–$800 to find new support.
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👉 In summary:
• By the end of 2025, the $900–$1,000 range for BNB is feasible if the market maintains its upward momentum.
• However, before reaching $1,000, there is a high likelihood of a small correction to 'cool off' buying pressure.