🚀 Global Reflection on Bitcoin: The Triangle of the Whole History
Since its inception, Bitcoin has been moving within a global contracting channel (symmetric triangle) on a logarithmic chart.
The upper boundary connects key historical highs (2013, 2017, 2021, 2025), while the lower connects global lows (2011, 2015, 2018, 2022). This reflects a natural decrease in volatility as the market matures.
📊 Calculations show that:
The triangle is theoretically expected to converge at a price of around $847,000.
The convergence timeframe is around 2029–2030.
The current price (~$117,000, August 2025) still remains within the channel, and the space for movement is gradually narrowing.
🔮 Possible scenarios:
Upward breakout — a breach of the boundary before 2030 and movement to new heights ($250k–$1M+).
Downward breakout / sideways — consolidation of BTC as "digital gold" in the range of $200k–500k.
Hybrid — the market will choose a direction even before the triangle converges.
💡 Historically, such triangles rarely reach full convergence — momentum happens earlier. Therefore, the next 2–4 years could be decisive.
Question: What will happen when the global triangle converges — an explosion upward or an era of sideways movement? 🤔