#XRP
ChatGPT's Forecast on XRP Surpassing Ethereum
According to ChatGPT-5, the likelihood of **XRP surpassing Ethereum (ETH)** in market capitalization is analyzed in three time scenarios:
- **Short term (2025-2026)**: Probability **less than 5%**, depending on a victory for Ripple in the SEC and approval of an XRP ETF, but deemed unlikely due to ETH's dominance in DeFi and NFTs.
- **Medium term (2027-2029)**: Probability of **15-20%**, requiring global regulatory clarity, integration into international payment systems, and CBDCs.
- **Long term (after 2030)**: Probability of **25-30%**, if Ripple's technology becomes fundamental in global financial infrastructures.
The first realistic window for this transition is between **2028 and 2030**, depending on banking adoption, institutional ETFs, and slower growth of Ethereum.
