1. Summary

$PEPE is 'breathing oxygen' at support $0.0000097–$0.00000986, facing resistance $0.00001014 like a 'dead end'. Big drama: Whales are fiercely accumulating dips (on-chain reports 50M PEPE accumulated), but the NFT market is collapsing and capital is 'jumping ships' to new memes (DOGS, NEIRO) causing price instability. Volume is the 'savior' to decide whether PEPE lives or dies!

2. Technical, Fundamental & Psychological Analysis

  • Technical: PEPE clings to support $0.0000097–$0.00000986, resistance $0.00001014–$0.00001035 like a 'firewall'. RSI 1H ~23 (oversold, opportunity to bounce back), but 1H volume is weak like 'a frog croaking in the dry season'. A breakout needs 1H close > $0.00001035 with explosive volume (>40% MA20). Final support at $0.00000900; losing this area means 'game over', plunging straight to $0.00000850.

  • Fundamentals: PEPE remains the 'king of memes' with a community of 500k+ on X, but the NFT slump (OpenSea volume down 30% last month) drags meme coins down the hole. Whales accumulating 50M PEPE (according to Lookonchain) is a bullish signal, but meme rotation to DOGS/NEIRO (presale attracting $200M) causes PEPE to lose heat. Rumors of PEPE NFT marketplace (Q4 2025) and airdrop of 10M tokens for holders could ignite FOMO.

  • Psychology: Whales accumulate during dips making traders 'itchy', but the NFT collapse and meme rotation create a mentality of 'who lives, who dies'. Weak volume is an 'alarm bell'; breakouts lacking volume can easily become bull traps, and unconfirmed pullbacks are 'black holes' swallowing capital.

3. Trading Strategy

  • Entry:

    • Scenario A (Breakout): 'Unload' when 1H close > $0.00001035, volume spikes (>40% MA20). Use limit orders to avoid 'cut-throat' slippage.

    • Scenario B (Pullback): 'Lurk' to buy at $0.0000097–$0.00000986 if there is wick rejection + 1H reversal candle (like a bullish pinbar). Add position at $0.00000900 if the price 'drops flat'.

  • Stop-loss (mandatory): Breakout SL = $0.00000930; Pullback SL = $0.00000900.

  • Take-profit: TP1: $0.0000109–$0.0000115 (take 60% at nearby resistance); TP2: $0.0000126 (target 'soaring high', scale-out gradually).

  • Exit triggers: Large CEX inflows + whale dump, worsening NFT market news, or new meme presale (like DOGS/NEIRO) attracting capital → 'sprint' immediately. Use probe/limit orders to 'stay alive'.