Polymarket's Bets on Rate Cuts in September Plummet

Current expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut is only 57%, down from a high of 81%

Current expectation for no rate cut is 40%, up from a low of 12%

There seems to be little economic data in the past week, leading to a sudden shift in market expectations

The fluctuations on CME are not as pronounced, but the overall expectation for rate cuts is also declining

The expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut has dropped from 85% last week to the current 71%#9月降息