鬼谷研究院
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Guigu Morning Report
8.22 Accurate Market Analysis
Good morning, brothers. BTC is hovering around $113,000.
Why are the big players washing out the market during this time? Some large holders will cut losses,
The reason is to wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut signals.
Some say there won't be a rate cut, while others say it will start soon; the market is divided.
When new signals appear, big capital will begin to strategize based on the situation.
Currently, the global market is waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
Tonight at 10:00, market fluctuations will be significant.
The market will assess from Powell's speech whether to start cutting rates in September and whether to maintain high interest rates.
As we all know, Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve to adopt a looser monetary policy to support economic growth.
Federal Reserve chairman candidates are also calling for rate cuts.
However, the current officials have been tight-lipped.
Huang Licheng currently holds long positions worth $140 million, and is currently facing a loss of $9.81 million.
The fact that these big players are starting to lose money or facing liquidation indicates that the market may reverse.
Three scenarios for tonight:
(1) Powell releases a clear signal for a September rate cut, which would be positive, sounding the horn for a counterattack, with a probability of 20%.
(2) Powell states that it's not yet appropriate to cut rates, but gives a slight hint that a cut may happen, which would also be positive, with a probability of 50%.
(3) Powell refuses to release any expectation of a rate cut, or even strengthens hawkish signals, leading to another decline, with a probability of 30%.
Rationally, do not exit the market now; instead, accumulate positions in batches, waiting for the situation to reverse.
This analysis is for reference only.
Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions.
Investing involves risks; please invest spare funds and think independently.
8.22 Accurate Market Analysis
Good morning, brothers. BTC is hovering around $113,000.
Why are the big players washing out the market during this time? Some large holders will cut losses,
The reason is to wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut signals.
Some say there won't be a rate cut, while others say it will start soon; the market is divided.
When new signals appear, big capital will begin to strategize based on the situation.
Currently, the global market is waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
Tonight at 10:00, market fluctuations will be significant.
The market will assess from Powell's speech whether to start cutting rates in September and whether to maintain high interest rates.
As we all know, Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve to adopt a looser monetary policy to support economic growth.
Federal Reserve chairman candidates are also calling for rate cuts.
However, the current officials have been tight-lipped.
Huang Licheng currently holds long positions worth $140 million, and is currently facing a loss of $9.81 million.
The fact that these big players are starting to lose money or facing liquidation indicates that the market may reverse.
Three scenarios for tonight:
(1) Powell releases a clear signal for a September rate cut, which would be positive, sounding the horn for a counterattack, with a probability of 20%.
(2) Powell states that it's not yet appropriate to cut rates, but gives a slight hint that a cut may happen, which would also be positive, with a probability of 50%.
(3) Powell refuses to release any expectation of a rate cut, or even strengthens hawkish signals, leading to another decline, with a probability of 30%.
Rationally, do not exit the market now; instead, accumulate positions in batches, waiting for the situation to reverse.
This analysis is for reference only.
Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions.
Investing involves risks; please invest spare funds and think independently.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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