Shiba Inu has sharply declined over the past 8 months, but recent on-chain indicators and market signals hint at a strong recovery potential if new capital flows in.
In-depth analysis shows that Shiba Inu is entering a period of accumulation; experts expect a price increase of 125% if demand is sustained and investors return to the market.
MAIN CONTENT
Shiba Inu has continuously declined, but much market data shows accumulation signals and new capital flow.
Analysts predict that SHIB could increase by 125% if new capital continues to flow into the market.
Market sentiment and technical indicators still show high selling pressure, but a reversal is possible if buying strength increases.
What is Shiba Inu?
Shiba Inu is a cryptocurrency token in the Meme Coin group, notable for its strong community and significant price volatility in the market.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) launched as a Meme Coin on the Ethereum platform, attracting significant attention due to its prominent community strategy and price correlation with Dogecoin. Despite being a latecomer, Shiba Inu has become a popular investment choice due to its potential for explosive price increases and strong media factors. Historical price surges have helped SHIB attract new investors multiple times.
What has been the price movement of Shiba Inu in the last 8 months?
In the past 8 months, Shiba Inu has recorded a prolonged decline, with a total drop of up to 16% in just the last 30 days, despite some slight short-term increases.
From a peak of 0.0000334 USD, the price of Shiba Inu has continuously plummeted, reaching as low as 0.0000125 USD and slightly increasing by 1.61% in a recent trading day. Before this recovery, SHIB had decreased by 8.09% weekly and 16% monthly. The prolonged price decline over several months has created a negative sentiment, leading many investors to hesitate to return to the market, despite some positive long-term signals from on-chain analysis.
What makes experts believe SHIB can recover by 125%?
According to Alphractal founder Joao Wedson, on-chain data shows that Shiba Inu is entering a period of accumulation, with new capital beginning to return to the market.
The Realized Cap Impulse has shifted to a positive state, indicating that new capital is flowing into SHIB. Additionally, the buying and selling volume in the spot market shows a dominance of the buying side: from August 20 to 21, SHIB reached 1.2 trillion USD in buying volume compared to 1.1 trillion USD in selling volume (according to Coinalyze).
“When Realized Cap turns positive, it often marks the stage when fresh capital returns to the market – a prerequisite for a strong price increase.”
Joao Wedson, CEO Alphractal, 2025, source: Alphractal
History shows that each major accumulation phase and growth in demand in the spot market often plays a crucial role in driving up the prices of Meme Coins like SHIB, especially during times of high volatility.
What does the buying and selling data in the spot market reflect?
Buying volume exceeding selling volume in the spot market is an important indicator showing that speculative and investment capital is returning to Shiba Inu.
Recently, from August 20 to 21, SHIB recorded 1.2 trillion USD in buying volume compared to 1.1 trillion USD in selling volume (according to Coinalyze). The buying side maintained an advantage for two consecutive days, reflecting a positive accumulation trend.
“Continuous buying volume exceeding selling in a declining market context is often a contrarian signal indicating large capital flow is emerging, preparing for a new price increase cycle.”
Analysis from Coinalyze, 2025
When capital maintains a higher level than selling, it warns of the potential for buying strength to push SHIB's price up to a strong resistance area if demand continues to increase.
SHIB Price Forecast: Is a 125% growth scenario feasible?
Alpha Price – a proprietary indicator from Alphractal – predicts that if capital flow is maintained, SHIB could rise to 0.000028 USD, corresponding to a 125% increase from the current level.
Although this forecast is quite ambitious, it is based on the historical rules of the Meme Coin market, where strong FOMO events along with new capital flows can create explosive price surges. However, the realization of this potential largely depends on new buying strength and positive sentiment.
“The price growth of Meme Coins largely reflects short-term supply – demand and community sentiment, especially in the current accumulation scenario.”
Research from Alphractal, 2025
For a major price increase scenario to materialize, a consensus of investment capital flow is needed, as well as significantly improved market sentiment factors.
What impact does unrealized loss pressure have on the SHIB market?
Most SHIB investors are still 'sitting on' unrealized losses, leading to caution and a defensive mentality in the market.
Data from Alphractal shows that many wallet addresses have not sold their SHIB orders due to the current price being lower than past buying areas, leading to stagnant market activity, hampering short-term growth. This cautious sentiment can only be unlocked with a surge in capital flow or strong reversal signals from the market.
“Accumulation trends accompanied by loss aversion sentiment often serve as a springboard for strong market reactions.”
Alphractal, 2025
The larger the unrealized loss, the higher the likelihood of prolonged accumulation before the price can establish a clear new trend.
What is the current volatility in SHIB's Futures market?
Demand for SHIB futures contracts is increasing again as the Funding Rate turns positive, reflecting investor confidence in potential price increases.
According to Coinalyze, the SHIB Funding Rate has shifted from negative to positive after three consecutive days of being negative, indicating a return of long positions in futures contracts. The Long/Short Ratio has risen to 1.169, meaning 53% are long positions and 46% are short positions.
When the Funding Rate and Long ratio are dominant, the market expects the bullish trend to continue in the short term, as many traders are willing to pay fees to maintain long positions.
“A positive Funding Rate is often accompanied by a wave of new futures buying, increasing the probability of a price breakout.”
Coinalyze, 2025
Indicator Before August 20-21 After August 20-21 Funding Rate (SHIB) Negative for 3 consecutive days Positive again Long/Short Ratio Below 1.0 1.169 (Long 53%, Short 46%) Buying volume compared to selling Below 1.1 trillion USD Buying: 1.2 trillion USD, Selling: 1.1 trillion USD
Technical indicators: What do RSI & DMI say about SHIB's price trend?
The RSI index has dropped to 44, along with DMI falling from 26 to 16, confirming that the downtrend still prevails and sellers are controlling the SHIB market.
RSI at 44 is considered a boundary level for the oversold region, combined with a sharp decline in DMI indicating that the downside risk remains. Unless there is significant speculative capital or positive news, a strong short-term recovery will be difficult.
If investors continue to stay on the sidelines, SHIB's price could drop further to the support level of 0.0000115 USD. Only when speculative investors actively re-enter will SHIB have a chance to test the resistance level of 0.000015 USD in the short term.
What are the prospects for a trend reversal with Shiba Inu: How feasible is it?
Despite the emergence of positive accumulation signals, analysis from AMBCrypto confirms that selling pressure remains strong and a real reversal will only occur if speculative capital increases significantly.
Alphractal's forecast of a 125% increase is only feasible if SHIB attracts a large enough influx of new money and technical signals turn positive. Only then will the market expect SHIB to break through the current price range, moving towards the 0.000028 USD level as predicted by experts.
Frequently Asked Questions
What stage is Shiba Inu currently in the market?
Shiba Inu is currently in an accumulation phase, with signs of increasing investment capital flow, according to on-chain analysis from Alphractal.
Who predicts Shiba Inu will increase by 125%?
Joao Wedson – founder of Alphractal is the one predicting SHIB has the potential to increase by 125% if buying strength continues to recover significantly.
Which indicators are reinforcing SHIB's recovery prospects?
Some on-chain indicators like Realized Cap turning positive, buying volume exceeding selling, positive Funding Rate Futures, and a dominant Long position ratio.
Why are many investors still cautious about SHIB?
Most SHIB investors are bearing unrealized losses, creating a cautious sentiment despite new accumulation signals emerging.
Could the price of SHIB drop further?
If capital does not flow back strongly, SHIB's price could drop to the support level of 0.0000115 USD according to technical forecasts.
Which data site provides reliable SHIB trading information?
Coinalyze and Alphractal are two data sources widely used by many experts to analyze capital flow and trading volatility of SHIB.
Is a strong price increase for SHIB still feasible in 2025?
The likelihood only occurs if there is a significant influx of new capital combined with positive market sentiment signals.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/shiba-inu-se-tang-gia-manh/
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