At 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting, and at 3 AM, FOMC voting members will speak. Atlanta Fed President Bostic will give a speech on the economic outlook, so please pay attention. During the live broadcast at Binance Square tonight, Long Ge mentioned the probabilities of three types of market movements:
1. A drop below 113,000, but not breaking 112,300 has a 75% probability.
2. A false break below 112,300, quickly recovering has a 60% probability.
3. An effective drop below 112,300-111,900, with a pullback to 110,000 support, has a 10% probability.
Brothers, which of the above do you think has a higher probability?