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#Bitcoin long celebrated as digital gold and the ultimate symbol of financial freedom, may be standing on shakier ground than most investors dare to admit. A stark warning has come from Justin Bons, founder of Cyber Capital, who believes Bitcoin’s downfall might not take centuries, but could arrive shockingly soon—between 2031 and 2036.
Bons lays out his case with blunt mathematics. Every four years, #Bitcoin,s block reward halves, cutting the income miners receive for securing the network. By 2036, miners could be earning only 0.39 BTC per block. Even with #Bitcoin valued in the trillions, that translates to just $2.3 billion a year to protect a network of unimaginable size. The chilling part? That may not be enough to stop attackers from seizing control. Bons warns this opens the door to 51% attacks—where hostile actors take majority control and rewrite transactions. What once seemed impossible could become frighteningly realistic if incentives dry up.
But the threat doesn’t stop at economics. Bitcoin’s governance itself may be a ticking time bomb. Bons points to the rigidity of the Bitcoin Core developers, who have historically resisted changes like increasing block size or introducing limited inflation beyond the sacred 21 million cap. This inflexibility already split the community once between 2015 and 2017. Another fracture could prove catastrophic, especially if innovation remains stifled.
Layered on top of these risks is a new menace: quantum computing. While still in its early stages, experts warn that breakthroughs could crack Bitcoin’s cryptographic defenses. Google’s Craig Gidney believes the danger could hit by 2035, but others like David Carvalho and Chamath Palihapitiya suggest it could arrive within just five years. In a worst-case scenario, as much as 30% of existing Bitcoin could be exposed, potentially wiping billions from the market overnight.
Bons’ outlook is not a death sentence, but it is a wake-up call. Without bold changes, he predicts Bitcoin could collapse within the next decade. For investors who see Bitcoin as an eternal safe haven, it’s a sobering reminder that no empire—digital or otherwise—is immune to disruption.
