Bitcoin is undergoing a typical correction phase in August, which historically has been a month of declines.
August is often a slow trading time; Bitcoin usually declines, but this also sets the stage for strong increases in Q4. September is expected to be a crucial testing phase before entering 'Uptober'.
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Bitcoin usually declines an average of 7.5% in August, with 9 out of the last 13 years ending negatively.
September often marks a local bottom, setting the stage for upward momentum in October.
A slight correction can be a signal for the next strong bullish cycle.
How does Bitcoin's decline in August slow down?
August is known as a slow trading period with an average decline of 7.49% for Bitcoin, where 9 out of the last 13 years ended this month with negative results. August 2025 was no exception as Bitcoin fell over 4% from a peak of over $124,000 to around $113,192.
Even in strong bull cycles like 2017 and 2021, August has been relatively challenging for Bitcoin. This is considered normal volatility in market cycles, representing a pause before the next major moves.
How will September challenge Bitcoin?
Expert Kaleo notes that September often represents a local bottom for Bitcoin in 4 out of the last 5 years and is likened to a 'launchpad' for the price surge in October (Uptober). This trend contributes to establishing positive expectations for the final quarter of the year.
Expert Benjamin Cowen provides a detailed analysis of the post-halving cycle, indicating that Bitcoin usually rises in July-August, corrects in September, and then experiences a strong increase in Q4 before entering a bear market. This repeating pattern provides a solid basis for analysis.
September, though undervalued, has marked a local bottom for Bitcoin in many recent years, serving as a stepping stone for the upward trend in October.
Kaleo, cryptocurrency analyst, August 2025
The post-halving model shows Bitcoin rising in July-August, experiencing a slight decline in September, then rising sharply in Q4, before entering a bear market.
Benjamin Cowen, cryptocurrency analyst, August 2025
How will a slight correction trigger the next surge?
Rekt Capital's expert states that previous pullbacks of Bitcoin are usually short and shallow, helping to establish a foundation for the strong upward trend that follows. The current slight correction may be a signal for the beginning of the next surge.
Traders are also monitoring the Fed meeting in September, as signals about interest rates or inflation could significantly impact Bitcoin price movements in the short term, affecting market sentiment and investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is August typically a month when Bitcoin declines?
Indeed, Bitcoin averages a decline of about 7.5% in August based on the last 13 years of data; it is a slow trading period and often experiences downward corrections.
What does September mean for Bitcoin prices?
September often marks a local bottom and paves the way for a strong upward trend in Q4, according to analyses from many leading experts.
What does Bitcoin's slight correction mean?
Short and shallow corrections help to strengthen the bullish trend later, potentially a positive signal for investors.
What external events affect Bitcoin in Q4?
The Fed meeting on interest rates and inflation is an important event affecting investor sentiment and short-term cryptocurrency prices.
What do KaleO and Benjamin Cowen predict for Bitcoin?
They indicate that September is a local bottom, and October may see a price surge, reflecting a repeating post-halving cycle.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/bitcoin-giam-sendtember-mo-duong-uptober/
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