📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/19 Evening Analysis)
Bitcoin's short rebound does not change direction! The three cycles remain below the key moving averages and weekly S1, with bears still in control; before regaining above 114,648, any rebound is a short point
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#BTC 【12H】
Trend: Major Bear Market. Closed below EMA9 and EMA21, below weekly Pivot 119,561 and S1 114,648; MACD bars negative, RSI weak
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: 114,648 Close above 12H
🟢 Add Short: 114,648 Not Triggered, 116,150 Not Triggered
🚨 Break Down to Add Short: 111,890 Close below 12H
🎯 Take Profit: 113,200, 111,890, 110,000, 106,977
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Trend: Major Bear Market. Continuously below EMA9, EMA21, below weekly S1 114,648, Session VWAP downward
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: 114,648 Close above 4H
🟢 Add Short: 113,800 (Near EMA9) Not Triggered, 114,900 (Near EMA21) Not Triggered
🚨 Break Down to Add Short: 111,890 Close below 4H
🎯 Take Profit: 113,200, 111,890, 110,500, 106,977
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#BTC 【1H】#BTC Moderate Bear Market. Still hovering below Daily Pivot 113,755, below Session VWAP and downward
🔻 Short Position Information
🛑 Stop Loss: 113,755 Close above 1H
🟢 Add Short: 113,755 Not Triggered, 115,631 (R1) Not Triggered
🚨 Break Down to Add Short: 112,895 (S1) Close below 1H
🎯 Take Profit: 113,000, 112,895, 111,520, 110,060
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation #BTC - 1H: Short position at rebounds to Pivot and R1 range, continue to short if closes below 112,895; exit if 1H closes above Pivot and VWAP is upward
- 4H: Maintain strong bearish stance; if closes below 111,890, target 110,500 and 106,977; if closes above 114,648, invalid
- 12H: Major bearish structure, unless 12H closes above 114,648, otherwise focus on right-side shorts; heavy volume breakdown adds points to the bears
