How to seize the LAYER 'golden pit' during market panic: Should we bottom-fish around 0.55 or wait and see?

In the past two weeks, LAYER has slid from a high of 0.71 to 0.55, a drop of 22%, while contract holdings quietly decreased by 12.93M, with funds continuing to flow out. The spot transaction distribution shows that currently 70% of the chips are concentrated in the 0.56-0.66 range, with 135 million transactions piled up around 0.60—this is the 'value anchor' POC and the last stronghold for the bulls. The price has approached the lower Bollinger Band, RSI 35 is oversold, and short-term sentiment is at a freezing point, but sell orders still slightly dominate, with the long-short ratio rising from 1.90 to 1.99, and a 'false drop' to lure shorts may occur in the short term.

Key intervals and transaction volume structure

1. Value anchor: 0.6003 (POC), upper HVN 0.598-0.606, 0.633, lower LVN 0.551-0.553, 0.541-0.544.

2. 70% transaction volume area: 0.563-0.658, the current price 0.5576 has fallen below the lower edge of 1×ATR, reaching the oversold edge.

3. Momentum verification: Down Volume in the POC area accounts for 67%, short-term still dominated by sellers; Up Volume at 0.551 LVN is only 32%, if broken with volume, it can be seen as a signal of a bullish counterattack.

Trading strategies

• Aggressive long: Enter when there is a pullback to 0.551-0.553 LVN, and a bullish candle appears with Up Volume > 60%, stop loss at 0.548 (outside the lower HVN), target 0.567/0.600, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.9.

• Conservative long: Wait to reclaim 0.563 VAL and close with a 15m bullish candle, stop loss at 0.558, target 0.600, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.4.

• Counter-trend short: If it falls below 0.548 and Down Volume > 65%, follow the trend and short to 0.541, stop loss at 0.552, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.0.

Strategy invalidation: Daily close falls below 0.541 or POC is broken with volume.

LP market-making suggestions

It is recommended to market-make in the range of 0.548-0.605, placing orders based on POC and HVN:

• Dense buy orders below 0.548-0.553, concentrated sell orders above 0.600-0.606;

• The range fluctuates about 10%, funding rates are slightly positive, suitable for grid trading to capture price differences, and pay attention to controlling unilateral exposure < 20%.

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