Tonight at 20:30, will the unemployment data 'mystery bomb' trigger a volatility storm for #API3 ?
Tonight at 20:30, the US unemployment data may break the sideways movement of API3. If the data is bad, economic risks rise, funds seek safety, suppressing crypto; if the data is good, expectations for interest rate cuts strengthen, benefiting crypto. In July, a disappointing non-farm payroll report caused Bitcoin to plummet by 8%. Currently, API3 is correlated with US stocks, and Trump's tariffs complicate matters; bad data may lead to further declines.
From a technical perspective, API3 is at the end of its consolidation phase, with a trend change imminent. The 1-hour candlestick shows support at $1.24, with stop-loss below; resistance at $1.79, with a breakthrough requiring volume. Long and short positions are battling, trading volume is shrinking, BOLL is narrowing to $0.15, and RSI is stuck at 50.
Action: If the data is negative, API3 may test $1.24 - $1.3, enter with light positions, stop-loss at $1.2, and watch for a Fed 'dovish' rebound; if the data is positive, break through $1.79 and follow up with long positions, targeting $2. Be wary of 'buying the expectation and selling the fact', monitor the volume 30 minutes after the data is released. Tonight's volatility may be ±5%, place orders in advance, the trend change window has appeared.
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