Three years ago, I lost my entire account due to an impulsive high-leverage contract trade. At that moment, I realized that emotions are the greatest enemy, and discipline is the best friend.
1. Trend is the key
The market will not change direction because of your "feelings". In a downtrend, every rebound is an opportunity to escape; in an uptrend, every pullback is an opportunity to enter.
When Bitcoin rebounded from $16,000 in 2023, many were still waiting for "lower prices," while I observed the weekly trend reversal signals and gradually built my position after breaking through $24,000, ultimately riding the wave to $30,000. Trading with the trend is much safer than trying to catch the bottom.
2. Stay away from the traps of skyrocketing coins
In 2024, a certain altcoin surged by 500% in a week, and the community went wild. As a result, three months later, it fell back to its original point.
I never touch coins that skyrocket in the short term because 99% of them will fall back down after a surge. Real opportunities often arise when the market is quiet, such as when a coin suddenly breaks out after several months of sideways movement.
3. Simple indicators, stable profits
Complex indicators are not as good as simple rules. I have only two buy signals:
MACD golden cross and breaking the 0 axis (confirming trend reversal) Price stabilizes above the 30-day moving average (confirming trend continuation)
Last year, when Ethereum was sideways at $1,600, the MACD weekly line had a golden cross, and the 30-day moving average turned upwards. I decisively bought in and ultimately enjoyed a doubling market.
4. Averaging down is poison; adding to position is the remedy
Most people like to "lower their costs" when they are losing, but this often leads to greater losses. My rules are simple:
If losses exceed 5%, cut losses immediately; only consider adding to position if profits exceed 10%.
When SOL started at $80 in 2025, I gradually added to my position after breaking through $100, ultimately riding the wave to $200.
5. Volume determines the authenticity of breakouts
Coins that break out with volume often have sustainability; coins that show high volume but stagnate at high levels are likely to peak.
This year, a certain altcoin was sideways at $0.30 for half a year, suddenly breaking out with volume. I decisively entered the market and ultimately enjoyed a threefold increase.
6. Reviewing is more important than trading
I review my trades every week and ask myself:
Does it comply with the strategy? Was the stop loss timely? Should I have added to the position?
The market may change, but human nature does not. Only by continuously optimizing strategies can one survive in the long run.
In the past, I wandered aimlessly in the dark alone; now the light is in my hands.
The light is always on; will you follow? @币来财888