Why do you always lose money when trading cryptocurrencies? You might be missing this set of 'foolproof methods'.
After ten years of navigating the cryptocurrency market, I have deeply realized: they chase the skyrocketing coins like gamblers, trying to catch the bottom against the trend, averaging down their losses, and ultimately being repeatedly harvested by the market. My secret to profit is precisely a set of anti-intuitive 'foolproof methods'.
1. The trend is the only truth.
The market always teaches people to 'follow the trend', but most people are still obsessed with catching the bottom. In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap to lure in buyers; in an uptrend, every pullback is a golden opportunity. When Bitcoin rebounded from $16,000 to $30,000 in 2023, I confirmed the trend reversal by observing the 30-day moving average turning up, and built my position in batches after breaking the neckline, ultimately gaining an 80% increase. Remember: a coin with three consecutive up days is ten times safer than one with three consecutive down days.
2. Stay away from the death temptation of skyrocketing coins.
In 2024, a certain MEME coin surged 300% in a week, and then plummeted 98% over the next three months. These types of coins are like 'passing the parcel'; the last buyer is bound to lose everything. My iron rule is: any coin that surges more than 150% in the short term is immediately blacklisted. Less than 5% can truly break out of a main upward wave, so why gamble real money on such low probabilities?
3. The golden combination of MACD and moving averages.
When the DIF and DEA cross upward below the zero line and break through it, this is a textbook-level buy signal. Last year, when Ethereum was consolidating at $1,600, the MACD weekly chart showed this signal, combined with the 84-day moving average turning up, ultimately achieving a doubling of returns. The 30-day moving average is the lifeline for the medium term; if it breaks down, cut losses immediately. This is the core discipline to preserve capital.
4. Averaging down is the most dangerous lie.
Retail investors always fantasize about 'diluting costs', but when Bitcoin dropped from $40,000 to $30,000, they kept adding positions, ultimately leading to liquidation. My principle is: cut losses immediately if losses exceed 5%, and only consider adding positions if profits exceed 10%. When SOL started at $120 in 2025, I added to my position in three batches after breaking the previous high, with the profit portion always being more than three times the loss amount.
5. Volume doesn’t lie.
This year, a certain altcoin was flat at $0.5 for three months and suddenly broke through the neckline with high volume; I decisively entered and captured a subsequent 200% increase. When BTC reached a new high of $69,000, it showed a massive volume stagnation, and I immediately liquidated to avoid a 25% crash. A volume breakout exceeding the previous high by 120% is the true breakout; this is the ultimate weapon to identify false signals.
In the past, I wandered alone in the dark; now, the light is in my hands.
The light is always on. Will you follow? @币来财888
