When Wall Street's Treasury bond rates soar, the leverage in the crypto world will tremble—tonight's battle between bulls and bears for ETH might hinge on this auction result!
📉 Event Dispatch (Latest Data):
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US 20-Year Treasury Bond Auction Result: Winning rate 4.499% (the highest since 2008!)
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Market Reaction: The US dollar index instantaneously surged by 0.3%, BTC/ETH promptly fell by 1.5%
💡 My Exclusive Interpretation (combined with crypto logic):
1️⃣ Soaring Rates = US Dollar Bloodsucking:
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Institutional funds are flooding into Treasury bonds (with risk-free returns at 4.5%, who still plays in the high-risk crypto space?)
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Typical Case: When Treasury bond rates broke 4% last November, BTC plummeted by 20% in a week
2️⃣ Key Levels for ETH Tonight:
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4250U support (like a paper window, unable to withstand the assault of the dollar's machine gun)
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If it breaks, it might quickly test 4100 (the support zone from June's low point)
😤 Personal Feelings:
Watching the Treasury bond yield curve is like watching the Grim Reaper approach—
A rate of 4.499% is not just a number, but a scythe cutting into the leverage of the crypto world!
(Thinking of the 312 disaster, also triggered by the soaring Treasury bond rates leading to a chain reaction)
🎯 Operational Strategies (Three Plans):
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Radicals: Short at the current price, stop loss at 4300 (betting on the continuation of interest rate bearishness)
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Conservatives: Observe ETF fund flows after the US market opens (Grayscale ETHE premium is a weather vane)
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Spot Traders: Place orders at 4050 to bottom feed (picking up bloodied chips from institutions)
Lessons Learned:
In September 2022, when Treasury bond rates broke 4%, a fan who didn't listen to advice heavily went long on ETH, and ended up delivering food after getting liquidated...
