🚨 FCOM Minutes 20 Agust: Fed warns Inflation is coming and Consumers will pay the Price 💸
🎤Powell’s Big Test in Jackson Hole - Aug 22 👀
📊 Tariffs & Inflation Risks
Fed minutes reveal officials expect tariff-driven inflation, with firms likely to pass higher costs on to consumers. A few warned inflation could stay “stubborn,” while most prefer waiting for more data before moving on rates.
💰 Rate-Cut Debate
Two Fed officials pushed for cuts in July, but the majority resisted. After a weak jobs report — followed by political fallout — traders raised bets on a September rate cut.
🎤 Powell’s Big Test in Jackson Hole
🕗 When: Friday, Aug. 22, at 8:00 a.m. MT
📍 Where: Jackson Lake Lodge, Grand Teton National Park, Wyoming
🎙️ Event: Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
👀 Why it matters: Powell’s tone will guide expectations on inflation, growth, and rates — sparking global market reactions.
🎯 3 Scenarios & Crypto Impact
1. 🐦 Dovish Powell (Signals Rate Cuts)
Focus on weak jobs, global risks.
Markets: Stocks rally, yields fall.
Crypto: 🚀 Boosts bitcoin & Ethereum as liquidity flows back into risk assets.
2. 🦅 Hawkish Powell (Inflation Priority)
Warns tariffs may fuel persistent inflation.
Markets: Dollar up, stocks down, yields rise.
Crypto: ⚠️ Pressure as stronger dollar reduces speculative demand.
3. ⚖️ Neutral Powell (Wait-and-See)
Stresses flexibility, dependent on new data.
Markets: Volatile but directionless.
Crypto: 🤔 Choppy trading; BTC likely range-bound until September FOMC clarity.
🔮 Bottom Line
Powell’s speech is a make-or-break moment for crypto.
Dovish = fuel for a rally 🔥,
Hawkish = headwinds 🌪️,
Neutral = sideways grind 📉➡️📈.