$ETH / USDT
The Essentials of the Moment
Current price: around $4,313, with a rebound from intraday lows around $4,072.
Key support zone: the level of $4,200 remains relevant as a containment of the technical pullback.
Critical resistances:
The initial relevant ceiling is located between $4,350–$4,400, a level that has stopped recent reversals.
The level of $4,800, where recent highs were recorded, represents a major structural barrier.
Current technical trend:
The structure points to a correction within the range of $4,200–$4,800, with mixed signals between bullish (ETF and flows) and bearish (accumulated volatility, divergences).
Indicators like RSI and MACD suggest downward pressure.
Healthy technical correction: The price drop is interpreted as part of a consolidation, with no structural imbalance so far.
Bullish Outlook:
Average forecast for 2025: around $4,688.
A recovery above $4,800 could trigger a new leg towards $5,000+.
Key Technical Scenarios
Scenario Key Condition Potential Targets
Bullish Firm close above $4,400–$4,450 Short: $4,800 → Medium: $5,000+
Neutral Consolidation between $4,200–$4,400 Technical equilibrium zone before the next impulse
Bearish Drop below $4,200 Risk of extension towards $4,000 or lower
Express Recommendation
Buy if ETH consolidates above $4,400–$4,450, aiming for a resumption of the technical rally.
Wait if it consolidates in the support range between $4,200–$4,300, and assess if the base holds before re-entering.
