Current Market Overview
Cardano ($ADA ) continues to range within a choppy and messy structure on the daily chart. Importantly, we still donโt see any clear upside impulse yet.
The line in the sand remains the $0.51 level.
As long as ADA holds above this level, the B-wave rally scenario towards higher prices remains intact.
The $1.25 target only stays valid as long as the market respects the August low.
Short-Term Structure: Correction Still in Play
Zooming into the shorter timeframe, ADA is currently going through the correction we anticipated.
Our next downside target was set around $0.85โ$0.86, aligning with the 100% Fibonacci extension.
Price reached that level, but the structure still appears unfinished.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
To even consider that a low is in, ADA needs to break above $0.896 (50% retracement). Until then, short-term bears remain in control.
Micro support levels to watch:
$0.812 (may not hold)
$0.763 (August 12th swing low)
Below $0.763 โ possible retest of $0.71 or even the August low
Elliott Wave Perspective
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the market still looks like an ABC correction with a 5-wave C-leg unfolding. This suggests:
We might still need another lower high and one more low before completion.
As long as the August low holds, the B-wave bottoming scenario remains technically valid.