In March 2025, ETH plummeted by 9.55%. Liangxi shorted with a 10,000 capital and made 10 million in just a few hours. The whole network was boiling, with countless people shouting, 'Rolling over is the fastest shortcut for ordinary people to get rich!'—but no one tells you that Liangxi had been liquidated 37 times before, with total losses exceeding 5 million.

ETH Intraday Chart: Liangxi's rolling points vs. the corpses of liquidated traders

1. The Essence of Rolling Over: A 'Life and Death Game' Under High Leverage

1. Analysis of Liangxi's 'Divine Operation'

- Accurate Judgment: ETH fluctuating downwards, Liangxi captures every wave of volatility through long and short trades.

- Rolling Over with Increasing Positions: After each profit, add the profits to the next trade to leverage the compound effect for increased returns.

- Strict Stop Loss: Although using high leverage, set a narrow stop loss to avoid large single losses.

2. The 'Mathematical Trap' of Rolling Over

- Winning Rate Requirements: Assuming a 60% win rate for each trade, the probability of success for 10 consecutive rollovers is only 0.6^10 = 0.6%.

- Drawdown Risk: Even if the first 9 times are successful, the 10th failure can lead to total loss (e.g., in 2024, a user rolled over 9 times and made a million, but lost everything on the 10th time).

- Liquidity Constraints: Large funds rolling over can trigger market reverse fluctuations, leading to increased slippage (e.g., in 2023, a fund caused an ETH flash crash due to rolling over operations).

2. Tony's 'Rolling Over Handbook': Can ordinary people replicate it?

1. Tony's Legend and Truth

- The Myth from 50,000 to 20 million: Tony achieved 400 times return through rolling over in a year, but it involved watching the market for 16 hours a day and hundreds of trial and errors.

- The Core Logic of Rolling Over:

Only roll over in the big trend (e.g., BTC rising unilaterally in 2024)

Gradually reduce positions after making profits (to prevent profit reversal)

Never go All in (keep 50% of funds to cope with extreme conditions)

2. The 'Rolling Over Nightmare' of Ordinary People

- Psychological Collapse: After consecutive stop losses, it is easy to trade emotionally (e.g., in 2023, a user liquidated after heavy trading on the 4th time due to 3 consecutive stop losses).

- Technical Threshold: Rolling over requires strong market prediction capabilities, and ordinary people often 'see the direction correctly but lose on the entry point.'

- Time Cost: Full-time traders find it hard to handle rolling over, let alone amateur players.

3. 'Alternative Solutions' for Rolling Over: Low-risk, high-reward paths

1. Dollar-cost Averaging + Grid Strategy

- Dollar-cost Averaging: Invest a fixed amount in BTC/ETH every month and hold long-term (BTC's annualized return from 2021-2025 exceeds 30%).

- Grid: Buy low and sell high within a fluctuating range to profit from volatility (e.g., in 2024, ETH's grid annualized return reached 50% within the $2000-$2500 range).

2. Trend Following + Light Position Testing

- Trend Following: Only enter when the big trend is clear (e.g., chase after BTC breaks the historical high).

- Light Position Testing: Use 1%-2% of the position to test strategies and gradually increase after verifying effectiveness.

3. Learn about on-chain data

- Whale Monitoring: Track institutional movements through tools like Glassnode (e.g., in 2024, after a whale increased its ETH holdings, the price rose by 20% within a week).

- Sentiment Indicators: Use the Fear and Greed Index to identify extreme market emotions (e.g., buy when the index is <20, sell when >80).

(Rolling Over Alternative Solutions)

Includes:

✅ Dollar-cost Averaging + Grid Practical Template

✅ Detailed Explanation of Trend Following Strategy

✅ On-chain Data Monitoring Tools




Rolling over is a weapon for geniuses but a grave for ordinary people—it's more important to survive longer than to earn faster in this market.

Stay tuned~ The next person to get rich is you!!! #加密市场回调

BTH BTC