The Federal Reserve's direction influences the nerves of the crypto market! Three major events in the early morning hold hidden secrets!!!!

At 3 AM Beijing time on August 21, the global financial market will witness three interconnected events. The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes, the rollover of crude oil futures, and the collective statements of several officials—these three seemingly traditional financial events are intricately linked to the crypto market.

First, it is essential to understand the "indirect linkage" between the Federal Reserve's policy and the crypto market. Although digital assets have formed an independent market, global liquidity tightening or loosening will still transmit through channels such as the US dollar index and risk appetite.

If the meeting minutes show that the majority of officials support a rate cut within the year, it may indicate an improvement in the traditional financial market's liquidity, indirectly benefiting crypto assets;

If there are concerns about a rebound in inflation, it may trigger a rise in risk-averse sentiment.

The rollover of crude oil futures hides secrets about inflation expectations. As a global benchmark for commodities, fluctuations in oil prices directly impact inflation judgments.

If abnormal fluctuations in oil prices occur after the rollover, it may change the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's subsequent policies.

For example, a sudden rise in oil prices will strengthen the "stickiness of inflation" theory, while the opposite could create space for rate cuts; these changes in expectations often trigger a chain reaction in the crypto market.

What requires caution is the collective speech of Federal Reserve officials at 3 AM. The current market has differing views on the extent of the rate cut in September—25 basis points or 50 basis points?

Official statements will become important references.

If expressions like "data-dependent" and "gradual" appear, they may be interpreted as a dovish signal;

If they emphasize that "inflation risks have not dissipated," it may raise concerns about liquidity tightening in the market.

It is worth noting that these statements often first affect US stocks and gold, and then influence the crypto market through emotional transmission.

For retail investors, it is recommended to focus on three dimensions at 3 AM:

First, the expressions regarding "controllability of inflation" in the meeting minutes,

Second, the amplitude of price fluctuations after the rollover of crude oil,

Third, whether officials mention keywords like "digital asset regulation" in their speeches. These signals are like weather forecasts for the financial market; they do not directly determine rises or falls but can provide important references for investment decisions.

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