Currently in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin's price has once retreated during the day, and Ethereum has also seen a decline, causing fluctuations in market sentiment. However, from the perspective of underlying logic and historical patterns, the probability of the cryptocurrency market entering a bear market is almost zero; short-term pullbacks are more likely to be a window for positioning.

From the perspective of market operation rules, the risk of short-term pullbacks does exist, but this is not a signal of a bear market; it's more likely a sign of the main funds adjusting their positions.

The direction of the market often contradicts the intuition of most retail investors: when panic spreads and everyone is worried about a crash and rushes to sell, the market may rebound amidst the divergence; when optimism prevails and investors flock to buy, the market often faces a correction.

This 'anti-human' characteristic is essentially the main force using emotional completion for chip exchange - the current pullback is more like the operator suppressing prices temporarily to pave the way for future accumulation.

Looking back at past cycles, whether it was the liquidity crisis in March 2020 or the deep adjustment in 2022, the seemingly fierce decline often heralds a new round of market trends rather than a trend reversal.


From an investment logic perspective, the long-term value of the cryptocurrency market has not changed due to short-term fluctuations. Many people feel that the cryptocurrency market is chaotic and often suffers losses, with the core issue being excessive obsession with short-term speculation.

Frequent operations, chasing highs and cutting losses, not only easily lead one to be swayed by market emotions but also erode profits due to costs like commissions and slippage. In fact, the layout logic in the cryptocurrency market is not complicated: see through the core value of the project, ignore short-term noise, and follow the medium- to long-term flow of funds to avoid most traps.

If you look long-term, you will find that this market is still a significant presence in the global investment field - quality assets not only have clear application scenarios and value support, but their price fluctuation range is also much larger than traditional assets, meaning that as long as you choose the right direction and have patience, the profit potential often far exceeds other markets.

For example, the decentralized storage property of Bitcoin and Ethereum's ecological advantages in smart contracts, these underlying logics have never been shaken by short-term price fluctuations, but have become clearer amid industry reshuffling.

Looking at the current market phenomena, the prevalence of short-term trading behaviors is worth being cautious about. Many so-called 'analysts' encourage investors to trade frequently every day, even if the operations go wrong, they still sing praises, appearing enthusiastic but hiding their own selfish motives - the more frequent the trades, the more they can earn from commission rebates.

However, for ordinary investors, the cost-effectiveness of this model is very low: leverage in contract trading amplifies risks, and emotional operations during short-term fluctuations are more likely to lead to losses.

Many people fall into a cycle of 'small gains and large losses' through frequent trading, ultimately realizing that after a long day of effort, they not only didn't make money but also incurred significant commissions.


In the face of the current pullback, rather than panic selling, it is better to view it rationally. For long-term investors, a pullback is precisely an opportunity to lower holding costs - the value of quality assets will not disappear due to short-term price declines, but will stand out more after the market calms down. Of course, bottom-fishing does not mean blindly entering; it still requires consideration of project fundamentals, fund flows, and other factors to select assets, avoiding chasing after concept coins and air coins.


In short, the current short-term fluctuations in the market are more like a 'half-time break' during an upward process, rather than the beginning of a bear market. As long as you recognize the trend, choose the right assets, and control the pace, you can seize opportunities amidst fluctuations and ultimately share in the long-term dividends of the cryptocurrency market.

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