🎙️【$BTC Morning Briefing|August 20, 09:00 (Beijing)】
Spot prices based on Binance: BTC/USDT approximately 113520, 24h high 116980, low 112767; perpetual contracts approximately 112906, 24h high 116688, low 112667. Data based on the Binance page you are currently viewing.
Structure: Price remains within the oscillation range of 112.7k to 116.9k; key resistance at 118k/120k above, only if a volume breakout occurs will there be room for further upward movement.
Capital: Spot ETF had a net outflow of about $122 million on August 18, short-term capital is cautious, but this is a phase of volatility and direction needs to be confirmed with volume.
Multi-dimensional interpretation: Price is close to the lower edge of the range, the derivatives and spot price difference is controllable, the structural increment of ETFs on the policy side is still present, but short-term speculative funds are becoming more cautious due to net outflows—this determines that “breakthrough requires volume, without volume it will oscillate.”
Strategy (both long and short prepared, not investment advice)
* Long: If the price stops falling and increases in volume between 112.8k and 113.5k, you can try going long, target 116.9k to 118k; if it breaks above 118k with volume, increase position to look at 120k; stop loss at 112.6k.
* Short: If it is under pressure around 118k and volume diverges, you can try going short, target 116k, stop loss at 118.6k; if it breaks below 112.7k with volume, look to short to 112k/110.9k.
48-hour win rate maximum direction: Oscillating slightly upwards—lower edge of the range is still holding, if volume replenishes, prioritize looking towards 116.9k to 118k before reassessing 120k.
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