**Bitcoin’s Q4 History Points to a Strong Year-End in 2025**
Bitcoin’s performance data over the years shows a consistent trend: the last quarter of the year is usually its strongest. If history repeats itself, the final stretch of 2025 could deliver notable gains.
So far this year, Bitcoin has had a mixed run. January opened with a **+9.29% gain**, but February dropped **-17.39%**, followed by a small **-2.3% dip in March**. April and May turned things around with **+14.08%** and **+10.99%**, while June and July added **+2.49%** and **+8.13%** respectively. August (up **+1.83%** as of mid-month) is still unfolding, and September will determine how Q3 closes.
Historically, Q3 is shaky — losses appeared in half of the last 12 years, though the average return sits just slightly above zero. That said, the real spotlight is usually on **Q4**. Bitcoin has ended the final quarter in the green **8 out of the past 12 years**, with blockbuster runs in 2013 (+479%), 2017 (+215%), and 2020 (+168%). On average, Q4 delivers an **85% return**, with a median gain of **52.31%**.
Monthly patterns also support optimism. **November** has been one of Bitcoin’s best months historically, averaging **+46%**, with positive results in 10 of the last 12 years. **December** averages smaller gains (+4.7%), but still tends to finish positive.
While history doesn’t guarantee future results, the data suggests Bitcoin’s current consolidation could set the stage for a **strong rally in late 2025** — especially if November and December repeat their usual seasonal strength.
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